SBI
LIGA PORTUGAL
Alverca
WWWLL
Kick-off18:00
Casa Pia
LWLWL
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 18:00 · Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
MFC WIN13.00-13.3%DRAW8.00+6.7%ALV WIN1.70+2.4%AVFC WIN2.35+2.2%SCP WIN1.16+1.8%CPAC WIN4.75DRAW3.80DRAW3.40CDN WIN2.90DRAW4.10SCB WIN1.53RAFC WIN5.75DRAW5.50SLB WIN1.25CFEA WIN10.00VSC WIN5.00DRAW4.00FCP WIN1.61GVFC WIN3.40DRAW3.00MFC WIN13.00-13.3%DRAW8.00+6.7%ALV WIN1.70+2.4%AVFC WIN2.35+2.2%SCP WIN1.16+1.8%CPAC WIN4.75DRAW3.80DRAW3.40CDN WIN2.90DRAW4.10SCB WIN1.53RAFC WIN5.75DRAW5.50SLB WIN1.25CFEA WIN10.00VSC WIN5.00DRAW4.00FCP WIN1.61GVFC WIN3.40DRAW3.00
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
6 TO 8 RANGE
Most likely band is 6 to 8. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.3
Alverca · for
at home, per game
11.2
Total corners · projected
μ 11.15
4.9
Casa Pia · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 6 to 8Price3.10Fair3.54(28%)▼ 12.3%
6 to 8£10.00Returns£31.00
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 9.5
Value Edge
1.49
Tissue
1.48
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.92
Bet365
+33.3%
Value Edge
Under 9.5
Against Tissue
3.10
Tissue
3.10
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.87
Bet365
-37.7%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
AlvercaCasa Pia
—
Corners for · per game
—
—
Corners against · per game
—
Hit rates · over markets
L2066%
Over 3.5 corners
L2061%
L2049%
Over 4.5 corners
L2041%
L2029%
Over 5.5 corners
L2027%
L2049%
Over 9.5 total
L2051%
L2037%
Over 10.5 total
L2034%
L2046%
Match corners W%
L2029%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
22%
Under 6
10%
24%
6 to 8
27%
32%
9 to 11
32%
15%
12 to 14
22%
7%
Over 14
10%
Alverca · 41 matchesCasa Pia · 41 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
NO DATA
Alverca · home
—
net per game
For
—
Against
—
Casa Pia · away
—
net per game
For
—
Against
—
Market

Alverca Corners Over / Under 5.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 5.5
Value Edge
1.68
Tissue
1.67
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+10.4%
Value Edge
Under 5.5
Against Tissue
2.48
Tissue
2.48
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-21.5%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Casa Pia Corners Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge
1.40
Tissue
1.39
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+39.7%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
3.55
Tissue
3.55
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-47.8%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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