SBI
LIGA PORTUGAL
Casa Pia
DLWLW
FT0 – 2
Sporting CP
DWWLL
  • Lima 13'
  • Catamo 90+4'
Friday, 30 October 2026 · 20:15 · Estádio Pina Manique
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 0–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
4.3
Casa Pia · for
at home, per game
10.7
Total corners · projected
μ 10.66
6.4
Sporting CP · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price10.00
Fair7.68
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.25
Fair4.16
WON
9 to 11
Price2.62
Fair2.49
LOST
12 to 14
Price4.33
Fair8.47
LOST
Over 14
Price9.00
Fair9.14
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 0–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.36
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.54
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
3.80
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.36
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 0–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.61
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
1.91
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
2.66
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
1.89
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Casa PiaSporting CP
4.0
Corners for · per game
6.0
5.7
Corners against · per game
3.3
Hit rates · over markets
L2060%
Over 3.5 corners
L2067%
L2036%
Over 4.5 corners
L2061%
L2023%
Over 5.5 corners
L2048%
L2042%
Over 9.5 total
L2044%
L2033%
Over 10.5 total
L2034%
L2029%
Match corners W%
L2057%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
9%
Under 6
11%
26%
6 to 8
28%
37%
9 to 11
41%
17%
12 to 14
11%
11%
Over 14
9%
Casa Pia · 35 matchesSporting CP · 46 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+1.8 · SPORTING CP
Casa Pia · home
-1.1
net per game
For
4.0
Against
5.0
Sporting CP · away
+1.8
net per game
For
5.5
Against
3.7
Market

Casa Pia Corners Over / Under 2.5

Settled · FT 0–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 2.5
1.26
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 2.5
5.00
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Sporting CP Corners Over / Under 6.5

Settled · FT 0–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 6.5
2.20
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 6.5
1.85
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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