SBI
LIGA PORTUGAL
Arouca
DLDWW
  • Esgaio 64'
FT1 – 0
Nacional
LLLLW
Sunday, 1 November 2026 · 15:30 · Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–0
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.1
Arouca · for
at home, per game
11.5
Total corners · projected
μ 11.52
5.4
Nacional · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price10.00
Fair7.92
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.20
Fair3.60
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.60
Fair3.37
WON
12 to 14
Price4.33
Fair5.22
LOST
Over 14
Price10.00
Fair9.34
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.24
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.54
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
5.30
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.38
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.41
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.82
bet365
1.93
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
3.50
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.97
bet365
1.88
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
AroucaNacional
4.4
Corners for · per game
4.4
5.2
Corners against · per game
5.9
Hit rates · over markets
L2051%
Over 3.5 corners
L2051%
L2046%
Over 4.5 corners
L2041%
L2023%
Over 5.5 corners
L2031%
L2050%
Over 9.5 total
L2060%
L2040%
Over 10.5 total
L2047%
L2034%
Match corners W%
L2029%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
12%
Under 6
12%
41%
6 to 8
17%
27%
9 to 11
37%
15%
12 to 14
24%
5%
Over 14
10%
Arouca · 41 matchesNacional · 41 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
-0.4 · AROUCA
Arouca · home
-0.4
net per game
For
4.8
Against
5.1
Nacional · away
-2.2
net per game
For
4.1
Against
6.3
Market

Arouca Corners Over / Under 5.5

Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 5.5
1.76
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 5.5
2.32
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Nacional Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.59
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
2.72
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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