SBI
LIGA PORTUGAL
Vitória Guimarães
LDLDL
  • Jakupovic 38'
  • Henrique (og) 48'
  • Camara 60'
  • Jakupovic 76'
  • Mosquera 90'
FT5 – 0
Marítimo
LLLDL
Friday, 23 October 2026 · 20:45 · Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 5–0
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.8
Vitória Guimarães · for
at home, per game
10.7
Total corners · projected
μ 10.65
4.9
Marítimo · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price6.00
Fair5.34
LOST
6 to 8
Price2.60
Fair2.59
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.75
Fair3.91
WON
12 to 14
Price6.00
Fair8.01
LOST
Over 14
Price15.00
Fair21.81
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 5–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.36
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
1.76
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
3.80
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
2.02
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 5–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.62
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
2.64
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.63
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Vitória GuimarãesMarítimo
5.6
Corners for · per game
4.8
3.9
Corners against · per game
4.0
Hit rates · over markets
L2055%
Over 3.5 corners
L2055%
L2059%
Over 4.5 corners
L2051%
L2049%
Over 5.5 corners
L2040%
L2050%
Over 9.5 total
L2035%
L2038%
Over 10.5 total
L2023%
L2053%
Match corners W%
L2055%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
20%
Under 6
15%
35%
6 to 8
50%
23%
9 to 11
28%
18%
12 to 14
5%
5%
Over 14
3%
Vitória Guimarães · 40 matchesMarítimo · 40 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+2.5 · VITÓRIA GUIMARÃES
Vitória Guimarães · home
+2.5
net per game
For
6.3
Against
3.7
Marítimo · away
+0.5
net per game
For
4.7
Against
4.2
Market

Vitória Guimarães Corners Over / Under 5.5

Settled · FT 5–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 5.5
1.94
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 5.5
2.08
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Marítimo Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT 5–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.40
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
3.55
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.