SBI
LIGA PORTUGAL
Santa Clara
DWWDW
  • Fernando (pen) 32'
  • Fernando 90+6'
FT1 – 2
Benfica
WLWWW
  • Pavlidis 62'
  • Prestianni 68'
  • Durán 90+6'
Monday, 26 October 2026 · 18:45 · Estádio de São Miguel
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
4.6
Santa Clara · for
at home, per game
10.6
Total corners · projected
μ 10.58
6.0
Benfica · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price8.00
Fair15.84
WON
6 to 8
Price2.87
Fair3.68
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.62
Fair2.40
LOST
12 to 14
Price4.75
Fair5.40
LOST
Over 14
Price11.00
Fair15.84
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 1–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.38
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.51
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
3.70
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.46
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 1–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.64
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.02
bet365
1.85
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
2.58
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.77
bet365
1.97
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Santa ClaraBenfica
4.3
Corners for · per game
6.9
4.3
Corners against · per game
3.2
Hit rates · over markets
L2064%
Over 3.5 corners
L2085%
L2044%
Over 4.5 corners
L2073%
L2032%
Over 5.5 corners
L2061%
L2038%
Over 9.5 total
L2054%
L2023%
Over 10.5 total
L2045%
L2036%
Match corners W%
L2079%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
6%
Under 6
4%
30%
6 to 8
27%
45%
9 to 11
42%
18%
12 to 14
19%
0%
Over 14
8%
Santa Clara · 33 matchesBenfica · 48 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+2.7 · BENFICA
Santa Clara · home
+1.0
net per game
For
4.8
Against
3.8
Benfica · away
+2.7
net per game
For
6.2
Against
3.5
Market

Santa Clara Corners Over / Under 2.5

Settled · FT 1–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 2.5
1.20
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 2.5
6.20
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Benfica Corners Over / Under 5.5

Settled · FT 1–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 5.5
1.81
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 5.5
2.24
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.