SBI
LIGA PORTUGAL
Nacional
LLLLL
  • Baeza 19'
FT1 – 0
Sporting Braga
DLLLW
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · 18:00 · Estádio da Madeira
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–0
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
4.7
Nacional · for
at home, per game
10.9
Total corners · projected
μ 10.90
6.2
Sporting Braga · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price10.00
Fair6.13
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.10
Fair4.13
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.62
Fair3.24
WON
12 to 14
Price4.33
Fair3.99
LOST
Over 14
Price10.00
Fair28.03
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.32
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.65
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
4.20
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.55
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
2.01
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
2.86
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
1.79
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
NacionalSporting Braga
4.4
Corners for · per game
5.4
5.9
Corners against · per game
3.3
Hit rates · over markets
L2056%
Over 3.5 corners
L2069%
L2041%
Over 4.5 corners
L2063%
L2031%
Over 5.5 corners
L2043%
L2060%
Over 9.5 total
L2040%
L2047%
Over 10.5 total
L2031%
L2034%
Match corners W%
L2071%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
13%
Under 6
22%
16%
6 to 8
33%
34%
9 to 11
31%
28%
12 to 14
14%
9%
Over 14
0%
Nacional · 32 matchesSporting Braga · 49 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+1.1 · SPORTING BRAGA
Nacional · home
-0.9
net per game
For
4.7
Against
5.6
Sporting Braga · away
+1.1
net per game
For
5.0
Against
3.9
Market

Nacional Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.46
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
3.25
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Sporting Braga Corners Over / Under 5.5

Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 5.5
1.71
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 5.5
2.44
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Search SBI…
Back to Match Centre