SBI
LIGA PORTUGAL
Estrela Amadora
DWDLL
FT0 – 2
Casa Pia
LDLWL
  • Rego 31'
  • Ofori 90+2'
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · 15:30 · Estádio José Gomes
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 0–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.6
Estrela Amadora · for
at home, per game
11.0
Total corners · projected
μ 11.04
5.4
Casa Pia · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price10.00
Fair9.09
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.10
Fair3.35
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.62
Fair3.39
LOST
12 to 14
Price4.33
Fair4.73
WON
Over 14
Price10.00
Fair11.84
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 0–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.30
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.55
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
4.40
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.36
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 0–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.51
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
1.94
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
2.98
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
1.87
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Asian Handicap Corners 0

Settled · FT 0–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Estrela Amadora 0
1.87
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.47
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Casa Pia 0
2.16
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.49
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Estrela AmadoraCasa Pia
3.7
Corners for · per game
4.0
5.6
Corners against · per game
5.7
Hit rates · over markets
L2051%
Over 3.5 corners
L2059%
L2037%
Over 4.5 corners
L2036%
L2021%
Over 5.5 corners
L2023%
L2040%
Over 9.5 total
L2042%
L2033%
Over 10.5 total
L2033%
L2034%
Match corners W%
L2032%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
12%
Under 6
12%
39%
6 to 8
24%
27%
9 to 11
34%
17%
12 to 14
20%
5%
Over 14
10%
Estrela Amadora · 41 matchesCasa Pia · 41 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
-1.3 · ESTRELA AMADORA
Estrela Amadora · home
-1.3
net per game
For
4.0
Against
5.3
Casa Pia · away
-2.4
net per game
For
4.0
Against
6.4
Market

Estrela Amadora Corners Over / Under 5.5

Settled · FT 0–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 5.5
2.02
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 5.5
1.99
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Casa Pia Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT 0–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.28
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
4.70
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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