LIGA PORTUGAL
Porto
WWWLW
- Veiga 31'
- Froholdt 54'
- Hwang 60'
FT3 – 1
Benfica
WWWWW
- Lenglet 35'
- Bah 51'
Sunday, 20 September 2026 · 20:30 · Estádio Do Dragão
Market
Match Result (Full Time)
Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won3.65
Estimate
2.62
bet365
2.66
Pinnacle
2.70
bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
+3.1%
Drifted
Draw
Lost4.20
Estimate
3.30
bet365
3.35
Pinnacle
3.30
bet365
3.32
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Away
Lost2.06
Estimate
2.62
bet365
2.67
Pinnacle
2.55
bet365
2.51
Pinnacle
−2.7%
Shortened
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 2 days before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
Match market
Winning Margin
Sanstari estimate per band · Dixon-Coles score grid
Match state
SETTLED · FT 3–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Porto
lostBY 1
Price4.50
Estimate6.47
▼ 30.5%wonBY 2
Price7.50
Estimate12.61
▼ 40.5%lostBY 3
Price17.00
Estimate33.53
▼ 49.3%lostBY 4+
Price29.00
Estimate85.29
▼ 66.0%Benfica
lostBY 1
Price4.50
Estimate4.68
▼ 3.8%lostBY 2
Price7.50
Estimate6.71
▲ 11.8%lostBY 3
Price17.00
Estimate13.01
▲ 30.7%lostBY 4+
Price29.00
Estimate21.55
▲ 34.6%Draw
lostScore Draw
Price4.33
Estimate5.23
▼ 17.2%lostNo Goal (0-0)
Price10.00
Estimate21.12
▼ 52.6%Market
Double Chance
Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
H/D
Won1.95
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
H/A
Won1.32
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
D/A
Lost1.38
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Draw No Bet
Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won2.78
Estimate
—
bet365
1.92
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.15
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Away
Lost1.57
Estimate
—
bet365
1.93
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.79
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Half-Time Result
Settled · FT 3–1 · HT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Home
Won4.20
Estimate
3.20
bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.40
bet365
3.50
Pinnacle
+6.2%
Drifted
Draw
Lost2.56
Estimate
2.20
bet365
2.28
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
2.30
Pinnacle
0.0%
Unchanged
Away
Lost2.72
Estimate
3.20
bet365
3.24
Pinnacle
3.00
bet365
3.15
Pinnacle
−6.3%
Shortened
ⓘ Sanstari estimates are model outputs based on statistical analysis, not predictions. Bookmaker prices are from bet365 and Pinnacle and are timestamped where shown. Odds are for information only. 18+. Gamble responsibly.
Open is our first capture, about 2 days before kick-off, not the market's true opening price.
In-play signals
Fired by the model while the match was being played. The model's own number is not a price, so none is shown unless the book was observed quoting one.
20:58Over 1.5 goals · from 0-0 at 25'ProjectedNo observed priceHit
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