LIGA PORTUGAL
Casa Pia
LLLLD
- Araújo (pen) 43'
FT1 – 4
Porto
WWWWL
- Silva 45+3'
- Kiwior 60'
- Sainz 66'
- Gimenez (pen) 90+1'
Saturday, 12 September 2026 · 18:00 · Estádio Pina Manique
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–4
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
4.0
Casa Pia · for
this season, per game
11.0
Total corners · past games added together
7.0
Porto · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price6.50
LOST6 to 8
Price2.62
LOST9 to 11
Price2.75
LOST12 to 14
Price5.50
LOSTOver 14
Price13.00
WONMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 9
Settled · FT 1–4
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
1.79
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
2.03
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 18:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 18:00 on 12 Septolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 8.5
Settled · FT 1–4
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.60
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.29
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 18:00 on 12 Septolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 1–4
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.02
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.78
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 18:00 on 12 Septolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 9; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
92.002.201.792.03
9.5––2.021.78
102.621.722.291.58
10.5––2.511.48
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 18:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 18:00 on 12 Septolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (9)
OverUnder
61.188.00
71.364.50
81.613.00
102.621.72
113.751.44
125.501.25
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 18:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
Casa Pia +31.95
Tie after the handicap8.00
Porto -32.10
bet365as of 18:00 on 12 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: Casa Pia 10 matches; Porto 10 matches
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Casa Pia 78, Porto 94)
Casa Pia corners for 4.00 a game, Porto 7.00, together 11.00 against a 9 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives Casa Pia 3.60 and Porto 6.55, together 10.15 against a 9 line.
The added-together figure is 2.0 above the 9 line; the blend is 1.2 above it.
Hit rates are kept for half lines only; either side of 9 (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, Casa Pia 78 matches, Porto 94 matches): over 8.5: Casa Pia 59%, Porto 53%; over 9.5: Casa Pia 42%, Porto 38%.
Corners for at the venues: Casa Pia at home 3.40 (5 matches), Porto away 6.20 (5 matches), together 9.60.
bet365 · line 9 (main line)Over 2.00 · Under 2.20
added together 11.00 is 2.0 above; blend 10.15 is 1.2 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
bet365as of 18:00 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 9Over 1.79 · Under 2.03
added together 11.00 is 2.0 above; blend 10.15 is 1.2 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 18:00 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 2.02 · Under 1.78
added together 11.00 is 1.5 above; blend 10.15 is 0.7 above
Casa Pia 42%, Porto 38% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 18:00 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 2.29 · Under 1.58
added together 11.00 is 1.0 above; blend 10.15 is 0.2 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 18:00 on 12 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10.5Over 2.51 · Under 1.48
added together 11.00 is 0.5 above; blend 10.15 is 0.3 below
Casa Pia 33%, Porto 27% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 18:00 on 12 Septolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Casa PiaPorto
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2062%Over 3.5 cornersL2079%
L2036%Over 4.5 cornersL2060%
L2023%Over 5.5 cornersL2047%
L2042%Over 9.5 totalL2038%
L2033%Over 10.5 totalL2027%
L2035%Match corners W%L2074%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
9%Under 615%
29%6 to 830%
32%9 to 1136%
21%12 to 1415%
9%Over 144%
Casa Pia · 34 matchesPorto · 47 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+2.2 · PORTO
Casa Pia · home
-1.1
net per game
Porto · away
+2.2
net per game
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