LIGA PORTUGAL
Vitória Guimarães
LLLLL
- Silva 4'
FT1 – 0
Nacional
LLWDW
Sunday, 23 August 2026 · 15:30 · Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–0
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.5
Vitória Guimarães · for
this season, per game
9.6
Total corners · past games added together
4.1
Nacional · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price10.00
LOST6 to 8
Price3.25
WON9 to 11
Price2.60
LOST12 to 14
Price4.00
LOSTOver 14
Price9.00
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
1.75
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
2.06
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 15:30 on 23 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 15:30 on 23 Augolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 9.5; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
91.802.621.532.40
9.51.802.001.752.06
102.251.901.971.85
10.5––2.191.66
113.001.572.541.48
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 15:30 on 23 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 15:30 on 23 Augolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (9.5)
OverUnder
71.256.00
81.443.75
91.802.62
113.001.57
124.001.36
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 15:30 on 23 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
Vitória Guimarães -21.95
Tie after the handicap8.00
Nacional +22.05
bet365as of 15:30 on 23 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: Vitória Guimarães 10 matches; Nacional 10 matches
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Vitória Guimarães 78, Nacional 78)
Vitória Guimarães corners for 5.50 a game, Nacional 4.10, together 9.60 against a 9.5 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives Vitória Guimarães 5.35 and Nacional 3.95, together 9.30 against a 9.5 line.
The added-together figure is 0.1 above the 9.5 line; the blend is 0.2 below it.
Hit rate (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, Vitória Guimarães 78 matches, Nacional 78 matches): over 9.5: Vitória Guimarães 50%, Nacional 60%.
Corners for at the venues: Vitória Guimarães at home 7.00 (5 matches), Nacional away 3.40 (5 matches), together 10.40.
bet365 · line 9.5 (main line)Over 1.80 · Under 2.00
added together 9.60 is 0.1 above; blend 9.30 is 0.2 below
Vitória Guimarães 50%, Nacional 60% of matches went over
bet365as of 15:30 on 23 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 9Over 1.53 · Under 2.40
added together 9.60 is 0.6 above; blend 9.30 is 0.3 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 15:30 on 23 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 1.75 · Under 2.06
added together 9.60 is 0.1 above; blend 9.30 is 0.2 below
Vitória Guimarães 50%, Nacional 60% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 15:30 on 23 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 1.97 · Under 1.85
added together 9.60 is 0.4 below; blend 9.30 is 0.7 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 15:30 on 23 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 10.5Over 2.19 · Under 1.66
added together 9.60 is 0.9 below; blend 9.30 is 1.2 below
Vitória Guimarães 38%, Nacional 47% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 15:30 on 23 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 11Over 2.54 · Under 1.48
added together 9.60 is 1.4 below; blend 9.30 is 1.7 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 15:30 on 23 Augolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Vitória GuimarãesNacional
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2056%Over 3.5 cornersL2060%
L2059%Over 4.5 cornersL2041%
L2049%Over 5.5 cornersL2031%
L2050%Over 9.5 totalL2060%
L2038%Over 10.5 totalL2047%
L2051%Match corners W%L2033%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
15%Under 610%
37%6 to 814%
32%9 to 1140%
15%12 to 1426%
2%Over 1410%
Vitória Guimarães · 41 matchesNacional · 42 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+2.5 · VITÓRIA GUIMARÃES
Vitória Guimarães · home
+2.5
net per game
Nacional · away
-2.2
net per game
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