SBI
LA LIGA 2
Burgos
LLWWD
Kick-off13:00
Celta Fortuna
LWDLD
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 13:00
TEN WIN4.75+25.0%GRA WIN1.72-11.8%DRAW3.40+4.6%SAB WIN1.66RSO WIN4.75DRAW3.60DRAW3.20SPO WIN2.15REV WIN3.25LPA WIN2.10ELD WIN3.25DRAW3.40DRAW3.40ALM WIN3.50GIR WIN1.95MLL WIN2.15DRAW3.30AND WIN3.10U GLS1.80O GLS2.00TEN WIN4.75+25.0%GRA WIN1.72-11.8%DRAW3.40+4.6%SAB WIN1.66RSO WIN4.75DRAW3.60DRAW3.20SPO WIN2.15REV WIN3.25LPA WIN2.10ELD WIN3.25DRAW3.40DRAW3.40ALM WIN3.50GIR WIN1.95MLL WIN2.15DRAW3.30AND WIN3.10U GLS1.80O GLS2.00
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
6 TO 8 RANGE
Most likely band is 6 to 8. Range chips show price vs model fair.
5.7
Burgos · for
at home, per game
10.4
Total corners · projected
μ 10.35
4.7
Celta Fortuna · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 6 to 8Price2.62Fair3.18(31%)▼ 17.6%
6 to 8£10.00Returns£26.20
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 8.5
Value Edge
1.42
Tissue
1.41
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+30.4%
Value Edge
Under 8.5
Against Tissue
3.40
Tissue
3.40
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-39.4%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
BurgosCelta Fortuna
4.0
Corners for · per game
3.6
4.7
Corners against · per game
5.4
Hit rates · over markets
L2050%
Over 3.5 corners
L2058%
L2040%
Over 4.5 corners
L2025%
L2028%
Over 5.5 corners
L208%
L2040%
Over 9.5 total
L2042%
L2027%
Over 10.5 total
L2033%
L2028%
Match corners W%
L2017%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
22%
Under 6
0%
29%
6 to 8
50%
31%
9 to 11
33%
13%
12 to 14
17%
4%
Over 14
0%
Burgos · 68 matchesCelta Fortuna · 12 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+0.2 · BURGOS
Burgos · home
+0.2
net per game
For
4.4
Against
4.2
Celta Fortuna · away
-2.0
net per game
For
3.8
Against
5.8
Market

Burgos Corners Over / Under 5.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 5.5
Value Edge
2.02
Tissue
2.00
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
+7.7%
Value Edge
Under 5.5
Against Tissue
2.00
Tissue
1.99
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-14.4%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Celta Fortuna Corners Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge
1.46
Tissue
1.45
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+40.8%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
3.25
Tissue
3.20
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-45.4%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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