A-LEAGUE MEN
Adelaide United
WDLLL
Kick-off06:00
Melbourne Victory
WLLDD
Sunday, 8 November 2026 · 06:00
NEW WIN2.70+17.4%PER WIN2.37-13.8%CCM WIN6.25+13.6%BRI WIN2.75+5.0%WSW WIN3.00+4.5%MAC WIN2.50+4.2%WEL WIN3.20+3.2%DRAW4.33+3.1%MCY WIN2.25-2.2%DRAW3.50SYD WIN1.50DRAW3.50AUC WIN2.15DRAW3.60MVC WIN2.35ADL WIN2.80DRAW3.40DRAW3.70O GLS1.70U GLS2.05NEW WIN2.70+17.4%PER WIN2.37-13.8%CCM WIN6.25+13.6%BRI WIN2.75+5.0%WSW WIN3.00+4.5%MAC WIN2.50+4.2%WEL WIN3.20+3.2%DRAW4.33+3.1%MCY WIN2.25-2.2%DRAW3.50SYD WIN1.50DRAW3.50AUC WIN2.15DRAW3.60MVC WIN2.35ADL WIN2.80DRAW3.40DRAW3.70O GLS1.70U GLS2.05
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
6 TO 8 RANGE
Most likely band is 6 to 8. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.6
Adelaide United · for
at home, per game
12.6
Total corners · projected
5.9
Melbourne Victory · for
away, per game
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 6 to 8Price3.60Fair3.51(29%)▲ 2.7%
6 to 8£10.00Returns£36.00
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Adelaide UnitedMelbourne Victory
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2078%Over 3.5 cornersL2084%
L2070%Over 4.5 cornersL2067%
L2051%Over 5.5 cornersL2058%
L2061%Over 9.5 totalL2060%
L2042%Over 10.5 totalL2052%
L2056%Match corners W%L2060%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
2%Under 65%
32%6 to 826%
34%9 to 1128%
17%12 to 1426%
15%Over 1416%
Adelaide United · 41 matchesMelbourne Victory · 43 matches
Edge profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+2.5 · ADELAIDE UNITED
Adelaide United · home
+2.5
net per game
Melbourne Victory · away
+0.3
net per game
Market
Adelaide United Corners Over / Under 5.5
Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 5.5
Value Edge1.54
Tissue
1.54
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
+40.0%
Value Edge
Under 5.5
Against Tissue2.86
Tissue
2.84
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-40.3%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market
Melbourne Victory Corners Over / Under 4.5
Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
Value Edge1.42
Tissue
1.41
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+30.4%
Value Edge
Under 4.5
Against Tissue3.45
Tissue
3.45
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-43.3%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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