EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE
SC Freiburg
WLWLW
- Scherhant 6'
- Matanovic 60'
- Irié 63'
- Goto 85'
FT4 – 1
Motherwell
WDDWL
- Longelo 22'
- Girdwood-Reich 57'
Thursday, 27 August 2026 · 17:45 · Europa-Park Stadion
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 4–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
7.0
SC Freiburg · for
this season, per game
9.5
Total corners · past games added together
2.5
Motherwell · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price7.00
LOST6 to 8
Price2.75
WON9 to 11
Price2.75
LOST12 to 14
Price5.00
LOSTOver 14
Price13.00
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 9
Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
1.89
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 17:45 on 27 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 17:45 on 27 Augolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 8.5
Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.13
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 17:45 on 27 Augolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 4–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.07
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 17:45 on 27 Augolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 9; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
92.102.101.831.89
9.5––2.071.67
102.751.662.421.48
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 17:45 on 27 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 17:45 on 27 Augolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (9)
OverUnder
61.207.00
71.364.33
81.663.00
102.751.66
113.751.40
125.501.25
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 17:45 on 27 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
SC Freiburg -31.90
Tie after the handicap8.00
Motherwell +32.10
bet365as of 17:45 on 27 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: SC Freiburg 5 matches; Motherwell 6 matches
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (SC Freiburg 96, Motherwell 94)
SC Freiburg corners for 7.00 a game, Motherwell 2.50, together 9.50 against a 9 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives SC Freiburg 6.33 and Motherwell 2.95, together 9.28 against a 9 line.
The added-together figure is 0.5 above the 9 line; the blend is 0.3 above it.
Hit rates are kept for half lines only; either side of 9 (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, SC Freiburg 96 matches, Motherwell 94 matches): over 8.5: SC Freiburg 48%, Motherwell 62%; over 9.5: SC Freiburg 34%, Motherwell 48%.
Corners for at the venues: SC Freiburg at home 6.00 (2 matches, small sample), Motherwell away 1.67 (3 matches, small sample), together 7.67.
bet365 · line 9 (main line)Over 2.10 · Under 2.10
added together 9.50 is 0.5 above; blend 9.28 is 0.3 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
bet365as of 17:45 on 27 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 9Over 1.83 · Under 1.89
added together 9.50 is 0.5 above; blend 9.28 is 0.3 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 17:45 on 27 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 2.07 · Under 1.67
added together 9.50 is level with; blend 9.28 is 0.2 below
SC Freiburg 34%, Motherwell 48% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 17:45 on 27 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 2.42 · Under 1.48
added together 9.50 is 0.5 below; blend 9.28 is 0.7 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 17:45 on 27 Augolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
SC FreiburgMotherwell
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2058%Over 3.5 cornersL2050%
L2048%Over 4.5 cornersL2037%
L2029%Over 5.5 cornersL2026%
L2034%Over 9.5 totalL2048%
L2023%Over 10.5 totalL2037%
L2042%Match corners W%L2042%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
21%Under 624%
26%6 to 839%
33%9 to 1129%
19%12 to 145%
2%Over 143%
SC Freiburg · 43 matchesMotherwell · 38 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+0.7 · SC FREIBURG
SC Freiburg · home
+0.7
net per game
Motherwell · away
-2.0
net per game
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