PRIMERA DIVISION
Atlético Progreso
WLLLL
- López 89'
FT1 – 0
Danubio
LDLDD
Saturday, 29 August 2026 · 15:00
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–0
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
4.1
Atlético Progreso · for
this season, per game
8.6
Total corners · past games added together
4.6
Danubio · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price6.50
LOST6 to 8
Price2.62
LOST9 to 11
Price2.75
WON12 to 14
Price5.50
LOSTOver 14
Price13.00
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 8.5
Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.77
bet365
1.68
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.02
bet365
2.09
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 15:00 on 29 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 29 Augolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.13
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 15:00 on 29 Augolder price
Market
Asian Handicap Corners 0
Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Atlético Progreso 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.04
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Danubio 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.68
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 15:00 on 29 Augolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 8.5; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
8.51.772.021.682.09
92.502.001.901.87
9.5––2.131.67
103.501.502.481.49
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 15:00 on 29 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 15:00 on 29 Augolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (8.5)
OverUnder
61.226.50
71.503.50
92.501.83
103.501.50
115.001.28
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 15:00 on 29 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
Atlético Progreso +11.90
Tie after the handicap7.50
Danubio -12.20
bet365as of 15:00 on 29 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: Atlético Progreso 35 matches; Danubio 35 matches
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Atlético Progreso 109, Danubio 109)
Atlético Progreso corners for 4.06 a game, Danubio 4.57, together 8.63 against a 8.5 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives Atlético Progreso 4.26 and Danubio 4.67, together 8.93 against a 8.5 line.
The added-together figure is 0.1 above the 8.5 line; the blend is 0.4 above it.
Hit rate (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, Atlético Progreso 109 matches, Danubio 109 matches): over 8.5: Atlético Progreso 54%, Danubio 55%.
Corners for at the venues: Atlético Progreso at home 4.47 (17 matches), Danubio away 3.72 (18 matches), together 8.19.
bet365 · line 8.5 (main line)Over 1.77 · Under 2.02
added together 8.63 is 0.1 above; blend 8.93 is 0.4 above
Atlético Progreso 54%, Danubio 55% of matches went over
bet365as of 15:00 on 29 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 8.5Over 1.68 · Under 2.09
added together 8.63 is 0.1 above; blend 8.93 is 0.4 above
Atlético Progreso 54%, Danubio 55% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 29 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 9Over 1.90 · Under 1.87
added together 8.63 is 0.4 below; blend 8.93 is 0.1 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 29 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 2.13 · Under 1.67
added together 8.63 is 0.9 below; blend 8.93 is 0.6 below
Atlético Progreso 38%, Danubio 45% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 29 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 2.48 · Under 1.49
added together 8.63 is 1.4 below; blend 8.93 is 1.1 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 15:00 on 29 Augolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Atlético ProgresoDanubio
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2055%Over 3.5 cornersL2066%
L2042%Over 4.5 cornersL2045%
L2031%Over 5.5 cornersL2034%
L2038%Over 9.5 totalL2045%
L2032%Over 10.5 totalL2034%
L2033%Match corners W%L2051%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
5%Under 620%
50%6 to 829%
31%9 to 1132%
10%12 to 1415%
5%Over 145%
Atlético Progreso · 42 matchesDanubio · 41 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
-0.1 · ATLÉTICO PROGRESO
Atlético Progreso · home
-0.1
net per game
Danubio · away
-0.3
net per game
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