PRIMERA DIVISION
Peñarol
WWWWD
FT0 – 1
Nacional
LWLLW
- Calvo 24'
Sunday, 30 August 2026 · 19:30
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 0–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
4.6
Peñarol · for
this season, per game
11.2
Total corners · past games added together
6.6
Nacional · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price9.00
LOST6 to 8
Price3.00
LOST9 to 11
Price2.62
WON12 to 14
Price4.50
LOSTOver 14
Price11.00
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 8.5
Settled · FT 0–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.65
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.17
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 19:30 on 30 Augolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 0–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.97
bet365
2.06
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.82
bet365
1.71
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 19:30 on 30 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 19:30 on 30 Augolder price
Market
Asian Handicap Corners 0
Settled · FT 0–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Peñarol 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.83
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Nacional 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.88
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 19:30 on 30 Augolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 9.5; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
91.952.371.851.93
9.51.971.822.061.71
102.501.802.391.52
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 19:30 on 30 Augolder pricePinnacleas of 19:30 on 30 Augolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (9.5)
OverUnder
71.305.00
81.533.40
102.501.80
113.501.50
125.001.28
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 19:30 on 30 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
Peñarol -12.30
Tie after the handicap8.00
Nacional +11.80
bet365as of 19:30 on 30 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: Peñarol 36 matches; Nacional 35 matches
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Peñarol 115, Nacional 113)
Peñarol corners for 4.58 a game, Nacional 6.60, together 11.18 against a 9.5 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives Peñarol 4.06 and Nacional 5.01, together 9.07 against a 9.5 line.
The added-together figure is 1.7 above the 9.5 line; the blend is 0.4 below it.
Hit rate (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, Peñarol 115 matches, Nacional 113 matches): over 9.5: Peñarol 30%, Nacional 50%.
Corners for at the venues: Peñarol at home 5.00 (19 matches), Nacional away 5.41 (17 matches), together 10.41.
bet365 · line 9.5 (main line)Over 1.97 · Under 1.82
added together 11.18 is 1.7 above; blend 9.07 is 0.4 below
Peñarol 30%, Nacional 50% of matches went over
bet365as of 19:30 on 30 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 9Over 1.85 · Under 1.93
added together 11.18 is 2.2 above; blend 9.07 is 0.1 above
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 19:30 on 30 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 2.06 · Under 1.71
added together 11.18 is 1.7 above; blend 9.07 is 0.4 below
Peñarol 30%, Nacional 50% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 19:30 on 30 Augolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 2.39 · Under 1.52
added together 11.18 is 1.2 above; blend 9.07 is 0.9 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 19:30 on 30 Augolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
PeñarolNacional
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2079%Over 3.5 cornersL2081%
L2058%Over 4.5 cornersL2065%
L2039%Over 5.5 cornersL2052%
L2030%Over 9.5 totalL2050%
L2024%Over 10.5 totalL2035%
L2067%Match corners W%L2076%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
14%Under 610%
38%6 to 826%
31%9 to 1136%
14%12 to 1421%
2%Over 147%
Peñarol · 42 matchesNacional · 42 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+2.4 · PEÑAROL
Peñarol · home
+2.4
net per game
Nacional · away
+1.6
net per game
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