CARABAO CUP
Millwall
WWLLW
FT0 – 1
Newcastle United
LDWWD
- Willock 81'
Tuesday, 8 September 2026 · 20:00
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
MillwallNewcastle United
Team cards · per game
Total match cards · per game
Season cards · league hub
Matches played this season: Millwall 2 matches, small sample; Newcastle United 3 matches, small sample
1.00Cards for per game2.00
1.50Cards against per game3.33
Hit rates · home v away
L2041%Cards match bet W%L2039%
L2079%Both teams cardedL2080%
L2051%Over 1.5 team cardsL2068%
L2044%Over 3.5 total cardsL2066%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2089%Over 0.5 team cardsL2084%
L2032%Over 1.5 team cardsL2063%
L205%Over 2.5 team cardsL2026%
L205%Over 3.5 team cardsL2011%
Team cards by line · overall
L2090%Over 0.5 team cardsL2088%
L2051%Over 1.5 team cardsL2068%
L2026%Over 2.5 team cardsL2039%
L2010%Over 3.5 team cardsL2012%
Officiating
Referee profile
Card profile · last 12 months · 23 matches
Match average
3.22 CARDS / GAME
3.17 yellows a game · 23 matches, last 12 months
C. Pawson
23
Apps
73
Yellows
3.17
Yellows / game
1
Reds
Cards per game
Cards per game23 matches in the last 12 months · yellows and reds3.22
Yellows per game23 matches in the last 12 months3.17
Half-by-half card counts are not recorded for these matches, so no first-half or second-half split is shown.
Referee extras · this league season
Fouls per game1 match, small sample · weight lightly27.00
Penalties awarded0 in 1 match, small sample · 0.00 a game · weight lightly0
Team cards
Home cards23 matches, last 12 months1.43 avg
Away cards23 matches, last 12 months1.78 avg
Both teams17/2374%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref87%+1.520/23 matches
Ref57%+2.513/23 matches
Ref39%+3.59/23 matches
Line check
Line vs referee and teams
Bookmaker cards lines beside the referee and the two teams. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Referee: C. Pawson, 23 matches in the last 12 months
- Teams, matches played this season: Millwall 2 matches, small sample; Newcastle United 3 matches, small sample
C. Pawson averages 3.22 cards a game over 23 matches in the last 12 months, 0.3 below a 3.5 line.
In those matches C. Pawson has shown the home side 1.43 cards a game and the away side 1.78 (23 matches).
Millwall cards for 1.00 a game, Newcastle United 2.00, together 3.00 against a 3.5 line.
Blending each side's cards for with the other's cards against gives Millwall 2.17 and Newcastle United 1.75, together 3.92 against a 3.5 line.
The added-together figure is 0.5 below the 3.5 line; the blend is 0.4 above it.
Cards for at the venues: Millwall at home 2.00 (1 match, small sample), Newcastle United away 2.00 (2 matches, small sample), together 4.00.
bet365 · line 3.5 (main line)Over 2.00 · Under 1.72
referee 3.22 is 0.3 below; teams added together 3.00 is 0.5 below; blend 3.92 is 0.4 above
bet365as of 20:00 on 8 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 2Over 1.19 · Under 4.33
referee 3.22 is 1.2 above; teams added together 3.00 is 1.0 above; blend 3.92 is 1.9 above
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 8 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 2.5Over 1.50 · Under 2.52
referee 3.22 is 0.7 above; teams added together 3.00 is 0.5 above; blend 3.92 is 1.4 above
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 8 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 3Over 1.81 · Under 1.98
referee 3.22 is 0.2 above; teams added together 3.00 is level with; blend 3.92 is 0.9 above
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 8 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 3.5Over 2.30 · Under 1.58
referee 3.22 is 0.3 below; teams added together 3.00 is 0.5 below; blend 3.92 is 0.4 above
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 8 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 4Over 3.02 · Under 1.34
referee 3.22 is 0.8 below; teams added together 3.00 is 1.0 below; blend 3.92 is 0.1 below
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 8 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 4.5Over 3.19 · Under 1.31
referee 3.22 is 1.3 below; teams added together 3.00 is 1.5 below; blend 3.92 is 0.6 below
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 8 Septolder price
Averages
Cards · past-game averages
Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into one figure
Match state
SETTLED · FT 0–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Total cardsvia match book
Source43%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source55%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source55%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source39%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Average48%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Market
Total Cards Over / Under 3.5
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
2.30
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 3.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
1.58
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 20:00 on 8 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 8 Septolder price
Market
Total Cards Over / Under 2.5
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 2.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.57
bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 2.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.25
bet365
2.52
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 20:00 on 8 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 8 Septolder price
Market
Asian Handicap Cards 0
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Millwall 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.43
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Newcastle United 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.65
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 20:00 on 8 Septolder price
Millwall (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source32%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source51%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source25%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Average36%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Newcastle United (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source63%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source68%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source35%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Average55%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Market
Both Teams To Receive A Card
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Yes
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.53
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
No
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.37
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 20:00 on 8 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Market
Both Teams 2+ Cards
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Yes
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
3.75
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
No
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.25
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 20:00 on 8 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Total cards lines
Every line bet365 and Pinnacle quote
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
2––1.194.33
2.51.572.251.502.52
3––1.811.98
3.52.001.722.301.58
4––3.021.34
4.5––3.191.31
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 20:00 on 8 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 8 Septolder price
Asian Handicap Cards
Each side with the handicap it carries, in cards
bet365Pinnacle
Millwall -1–2.45
Millwall -0.51.801.85
Millwall 0–1.43
Newcastle United 0–2.65
Newcastle United +0.52.001.89
Newcastle United +1–1.49
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that handicap.
bet365as of 20:00 on 8 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 8 Septolder price
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