CARABAO CUP
Manchester United
LWDWL
- Lacey 8'
- Mount 10'
FT2 – 3
Brighton & Hove Albion
WWLDW
- Kostoulas 45+1'
- Groß 65'
- De Cuyper 69'
Wednesday, 16 September 2026 · 20:00 · Old Trafford
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 2–3
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
4.0
Manchester United · for
this season, per game
7.0
Total corners · past games added together
3.0
Brighton & Hove Albion · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price9.00
LOST6 to 8
Price3.00
WON9 to 11
Price2.62
LOST12 to 14
Price4.50
LOSTOver 14
Price11.00
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 8.5
Settled · FT 2–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.56
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.39
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 20:00 on 16 Septolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 2–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.95
bet365
1.93
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.85
bet365
1.88
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 20:00 on 16 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 16 Septolder price
Market
Asian Handicap Corners 0
Settled · FT 2–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Manchester United 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.60
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Brighton & Hove Albion 0
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.20
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 20:00 on 16 Septolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 9.5; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
91.832.371.702.13
9.51.951.851.931.88
102.501.832.201.66
10.5––2.451.53
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 20:00 on 16 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 16 Septolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (9.5)
OverUnder
71.305.00
81.533.40
102.501.83
113.401.50
124.501.30
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 20:00 on 16 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
Manchester United -12.20
Tie after the handicap8.00
Brighton & Hove Albion +11.90
bet365as of 20:00 on 16 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: Manchester United 1 match, small sample; Brighton & Hove Albion 1 match, small sample
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Manchester United 90, Brighton & Hove Albion 94)
Manchester United corners for 4.00 a game, Brighton & Hove Albion 3.00, together 7.00 against a 9.5 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives Manchester United 4.00 and Brighton & Hove Albion 3.00, together 7.00 against a 9.5 line.
The added-together figure is 2.5 below the 9.5 line; the blend is 2.5 below it.
Hit rate (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, Manchester United 90 matches, Brighton & Hove Albion 94 matches): over 9.5: Manchester United 49%, Brighton & Hove Albion 61%.
Corners for at the venues: Manchester United at home 4.00 (1 match, small sample), Brighton & Hove Albion away 3.00 (1 match, small sample), together 7.00.
bet365 · line 9.5 (main line)Over 1.95 · Under 1.85
added together 7.00 is 2.5 below; blend 7.00 is 2.5 below
Manchester United 49%, Brighton & Hove Albion 61% of matches went over
bet365as of 20:00 on 16 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 9Over 1.70 · Under 2.13
added together 7.00 is 2.0 below; blend 7.00 is 2.0 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 16 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 1.93 · Under 1.88
added together 7.00 is 2.5 below; blend 7.00 is 2.5 below
Manchester United 49%, Brighton & Hove Albion 61% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 16 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 2.20 · Under 1.66
added together 7.00 is 3.0 below; blend 7.00 is 3.0 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 16 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10.5Over 2.45 · Under 1.53
added together 7.00 is 3.5 below; blend 7.00 is 3.5 below
Manchester United 39%, Brighton & Hove Albion 43% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 16 Septolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Manchester UnitedBrighton & Hove Albion
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2065%Over 3.5 cornersL2071%
L2051%Over 4.5 cornersL2053%
L2037%Over 5.5 cornersL2038%
L2049%Over 9.5 totalL2061%
L2039%Over 10.5 totalL2043%
L2045%Match corners W%L2045%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
8%Under 65%
35%6 to 831%
25%9 to 1131%
28%12 to 1424%
5%Over 1410%
Manchester United · 40 matchesBrighton & Hove Albion · 42 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+1.4 · MANCHESTER UNITED
Manchester United · home
+1.4
net per game
Brighton & Hove Albion · away
-0.2
net per game
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