EUROPA LEAGUE
Crystal Palace
LLWWL
- Pino 10'
- Richards 27'
- Larsen (pen) 34'
- Nketiah 89'
FT4 – 0
Lech Poznań
DWWWL
- Murawski 87'
Thursday, 17 September 2026 · 20:00 · Selhurst Park
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 4–0
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
4.3
Crystal Palace · for
this season, per game
8.9
Total corners · past games added together
4.6
Lech Poznań · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price9.00
LOST6 to 8
Price3.00
LOST9 to 11
Price2.62
WON12 to 14
Price4.75
LOSTOver 14
Price11.00
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 8.5
Settled · FT 4–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.61
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.30
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 20:00 on 17 Septolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 4–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
2.01
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
1.82
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 20:00 on 17 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 17 Septolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 9.5; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
91.902.251.772.05
9.52.001.802.011.82
102.621.802.291.62
10.5––2.541.51
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 20:00 on 17 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 17 Septolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (9.5)
OverUnder
71.335.00
81.573.25
102.621.80
113.501.44
125.001.28
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 20:00 on 17 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
Crystal Palace -22.10
Tie after the handicap8.00
Lech Poznań +22.00
bet365as of 20:00 on 17 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: Crystal Palace 4 matches, small sample; Lech Poznań 8 matches
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Crystal Palace 109, Lech Poznań 106)
Crystal Palace corners for 4.25 a game, Lech Poznań 4.63, together 8.88 against a 9.5 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives Crystal Palace 4.63 and Lech Poznań 4.31, together 8.94 against a 9.5 line.
The added-together figure is 0.6 below the 9.5 line; the blend is 0.6 below it.
Hit rate (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, Crystal Palace 109 matches, Lech Poznań 106 matches): over 9.5: Crystal Palace 46%, Lech Poznań 53%.
Corners for at the venues: Crystal Palace at home 5.50 (2 matches, small sample), Lech Poznań away 5.00 (4 matches, small sample), together 10.50.
bet365 · line 9.5 (main line)Over 2.00 · Under 1.80
added together 8.88 is 0.6 below; blend 8.94 is 0.6 below
Crystal Palace 46%, Lech Poznań 53% of matches went over
bet365as of 20:00 on 17 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 9Over 1.77 · Under 2.05
added together 8.88 is 0.1 below; blend 8.94 is 0.1 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 17 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 2.01 · Under 1.82
added together 8.88 is 0.6 below; blend 8.94 is 0.6 below
Crystal Palace 46%, Lech Poznań 53% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 17 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 2.29 · Under 1.62
added together 8.88 is 1.1 below; blend 8.94 is 1.1 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 17 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10.5Over 2.54 · Under 1.51
added together 8.88 is 1.6 below; blend 8.94 is 1.6 below
Crystal Palace 39%, Lech Poznań 40% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 17 Septolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Crystal PalaceLech Poznań
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2057%Over 3.5 cornersL2079%
L2042%Over 4.5 cornersL2064%
L2031%Over 5.5 cornersL2041%
L2046%Over 9.5 totalL2053%
L2039%Over 10.5 totalL2040%
L2043%Match corners W%L2068%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
14%Under 68%
36%6 to 829%
31%9 to 1137%
17%12 to 1411%
2%Over 1416%
Crystal Palace · 42 matchesLech Poznań · 38 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+0.4 · LECH POZNAŃ
Crystal Palace · home
-0.1
net per game
Lech Poznań · away
+0.4
net per game
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