SBI
EUROPA LEAGUE
Celta de Vigo
LWWDL
Kick-off20:00
Union Saint-Gilloise
DDWWW
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · 20:00 · Estadio de Balaídos
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
Celta de VigoUnion Saint-Gilloise
2.0
Team cards · per game
2.4
4.1
Total match cards · per game
4.9
Hit rates · home v away
L2033%
Cards match bet W%
L2035%
L2084%
Both teams carded
L2089%
L2056%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2078%
L2053%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2073%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2090%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2088%
L2048%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2082%
L2019%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2041%
L2019%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2024%
Team cards by line · overall
L2088%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2089%
L2056%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2078%
L2028%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2038%
L2016%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2019%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 6 matches · provisional
Match average
4.50 YELLOWS / GAME
Small sample — weight lightly.
?. Ağayev
Europa League · 6 matches in the last 12 months · provisional
6
Apps
27
Yellows
4.50
Yellows / game
3
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards3.17 avg
Away cards1.83 avg
Both teams5/683%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref83%+1.55/6 matches
Ref83%+2.55/6 matches
Ref67%+3.54/6 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Model state
OVER 3.5 · 63%
Model has over 3.5 total cards at 63%. Odds cards show price vs model fair.
Total cardsvia match book
Source60%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source63%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source63%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source67%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model63%MasterP(over 3.5)
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
No Edge To Take
1.59
Tissue
1.58
At exch margin
1.47
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Under 3.5
No Edge To Take
2.74
Tissue
2.72
At exch margin
2.50
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
2.09
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
—
No Edge
Under 4.5
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
1.71
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Asian Handicap Cards 0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Celta de Vigo 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
2.70
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Union Saint-Gilloise 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
1.40
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Celta de Vigo (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source48%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source56%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source30%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model45%MasterP(over 1.5)
Union Saint-Gilloise (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source82%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source78%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source36%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model65%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
Value Edge
1.16
Tissue
1.15
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
+10.6%
Value Edge
No
Against Tissue
7.60
Tissue
7.40
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
3.75
Bet365
-47.9%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
—
No Edge
No
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.