SBI
EUROPA LEAGUE
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
WWWLL
Kick-off20:00
Olympique Marseille
LWLWW
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · 20:00 · BayArena
U GLS2.75O GLS1.44BTTS NO2.10BTTS YES1.66DRAW5.50B04 WIN1.36OM WIN7.00U GLS2.20O GLS1.66BTTS NO2.25BTTS YES1.57OFI WIN3.50DRAW3.75HAP WIN2.00U GLS2.10O GLS1.72BTTS NO2.25BTTS YES1.57DRAW3.60USG WIN3.10U GLS2.75O GLS1.44BTTS NO2.10BTTS YES1.66DRAW5.50B04 WIN1.36OM WIN7.00U GLS2.20O GLS1.66BTTS NO2.25BTTS YES1.57OFI WIN3.50DRAW3.75HAP WIN2.00U GLS2.10O GLS1.72BTTS NO2.25BTTS YES1.57DRAW3.60USG WIN3.10
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
Bayer 04 LeverkusenOlympique Marseille
2.0
Team cards · per game
2.2
4.4
Total match cards · per game
4.2
Hit rates · home v away
L2056%
Cards match bet W%
L2030%
L2079%
Both teams carded
L2086%
L2060%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2062%
L2051%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2065%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2075%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2094%
L2060%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2061%
L2030%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2039%
L2020%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2017%
Team cards by line · overall
L2086%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2092%
L2060%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2062%
L2028%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2041%
L2019%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2022%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 5 matches · provisional
Match average
5.20 YELLOWS / GAME
Small sample — weight lightly.
O. Grinfeeld
Europa League · 5 matches in the last 12 months · provisional
5
Apps
26
Yellows
5.20
Yellows / game
1
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards3.20 avg
Away cards2.20 avg
Both teams5/5100%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref100%+1.55/5 matches
Ref100%+2.55/5 matches
Ref80%+3.54/5 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Model state
OVER 3.5 · 64%
Model has over 3.5 total cards at 64%. Odds cards show price vs model fair.
Total cardsvia match book
Source61%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source58%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source57%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source80%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model64%MasterP(over 3.5)
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge
1.57
Tissue
1.56
Betfair
1.61
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
+5.9%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
2.78
Tissue
2.78
Betfair
2.23
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
-18.5%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Asian Handicap Cards 0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Bayer 04 Leverkusen 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
2.47
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Olympique Marseille 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
1.48
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Bayer 04 Leverkusen (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source60%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source60%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source33%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model51%MasterP(over 1.5)
Olympique Marseille (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source61%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source62%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source29%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model51%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
Value Edge
1.22
Tissue
1.21
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.25
Bet365
+5.9%
Value Edge
No
Against Tissue
5.80
Tissue
5.70
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
3.75
Bet365
-33.0%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
—
No Edge
No
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Search SBI…
Back to Match Centre