SBI
EUROPA LEAGUE
NEC Nijmegen
DDWDL
Kick-off17:45
Omonia Nicosia
LWWWL
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · 17:45 · Goffertstadion
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
NEC NijmegenOmonia Nicosia
1.8
Team cards · per game
2.1
3.7
Total match cards · per game
4.9
Hit rates · home v away
L2040%
Cards match bet W%
L2052%
L2074%
Both teams carded
L2091%
L2053%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2065%
L2046%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2074%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2079%
Over 0.5 team cards
L20100%
L2043%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2091%
L2014%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2045%
L204%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2027%
Team cards by line · overall
L2086%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2091%
L2053%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2065%
L2023%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2030%
L2011%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2022%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 4 matches · provisional
Match average
3.00 YELLOWS / GAME
Small sample — weight lightly.
G. Kikacheishvili
Europa League · 4 matches in the last 12 months · provisional
4
Apps
12
Yellows
3.00
Yellows / game
0
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards1.50 avg
Away cards1.50 avg
Both teams3/475%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref75%+1.53/4 matches
Ref50%+2.52/4 matches
Ref50%+3.52/4 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Model state
OVER 3.5 · 57%
Model has over 3.5 total cards at 57%. Odds cards show price vs model fair.
Total cardsvia match book
Source64%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source60%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source54%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source50%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model57%MasterP(over 3.5)
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge
1.76
Tissue
1.75
At exch margin
1.85
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+11.1%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
2.34
Tissue
2.32
At exch margin
1.92
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-20.4%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Asian Handicap Cards 0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
NEC Nijmegen 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
2.35
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Omonia Nicosia 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
1.52
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
NEC Nijmegen (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source43%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source53%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source38%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model45%MasterP(over 1.5)
Omonia Nicosia (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source91%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source65%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source19%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model58%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
Value Edge
1.22
Tissue
1.21
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
+18.6%
Value Edge
No
Against Tissue
5.80
Tissue
5.70
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.75
Bet365
-50.9%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
3.00
Bet365
—
No Edge
No
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.36
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.