EUROPA LEAGUE

AC Milan

LWWDD

FT0 – 2

Benfica

WWWWW

Lukébakio 16'
Kamiński 53'

Wednesday, 16 September 2026 · 20:00 · Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC MilanBenfica

1.9

Team cards · per game

1.9

4.0

Total match cards · per game

4.8

Season cards · league hub

Matches played this season: AC Milan 4 matches, small sample; Benfica 10 matches

2.25Cards for per game1.90

2.50Cards against per game1.80

Hit rates · home v away

L2040%

Cards match bet W%

L2062%

L2074%

Both teams carded

L2071%

L2054%

Over 1.5 team cards

L2058%

L2060%

Over 3.5 total cards

L2062%

Team cards by line · home at home v away away

L2093%

Over 0.5 team cards

L2068%

L2060%

Over 1.5 team cards

L2055%

L2033%

Over 2.5 team cards

L2027%

L2013%

Over 3.5 team cards

L209%

Team cards by line · overall

L2083%

Over 0.5 team cards

L2071%

L2054%

Over 1.5 team cards

L2058%

L2037%

Over 2.5 team cards

L2029%

L2014%

Over 3.5 team cards

L2013%

J. Gillett

Europa League · 27 matches in the last 12 months

27

Apps

106

Yellows

3.93

Yellows / game

0

Reds

Cards per game

Cards per game27 matches in the last 12 months · yellows and reds3.93

Yellows per game27 matches in the last 12 months3.93

Half-by-half card counts are not recorded for these matches, so no first-half or second-half split is shown.

Referee extras · this league season

Fouls per game1 match, small sample · weight lightly26.00

Penalties awarded0 in 1 match, small sample · 0.00 a game · weight lightly0

Team cards

Home cards27 matches, last 12 months2.07 avg

Away cards27 matches, last 12 months1.85 avg

Both teams22/2781%

Over / under cards

Ref—+0.5no data

Ref85%+1.523/27 matches

Ref74%+2.520/27 matches

Ref56%+3.515/27 matches

Line check

Line vs referee and teams

Bookmaker cards lines beside the referee and the two teams. These are past results, not a price or a projection.

Referee: J. Gillett, 27 matches in the last 12 months
Teams, matches played this season: AC Milan 4 matches, small sample; Benfica 10 matches

J. Gillett averages 3.93 cards a game over 27 matches in the last 12 months, 0.4 above a 3.5 line.

In those matches J. Gillett has shown the home side 2.07 cards a game and the away side 1.85 (27 matches).

AC Milan cards for 2.25 a game, Benfica 1.90, together 4.15 against a 3.5 line.

Blending each side's cards for with the other's cards against gives AC Milan 2.02 and Benfica 2.20, together 4.22 against a 3.5 line.

The added-together figure is 0.7 above the 3.5 line; the blend is 0.7 above it.

Cards for at the venues: AC Milan at home 1.50 (2 matches, small sample), Benfica away 2.00 (5 matches), together 3.50.

bet365 · line 3.5 (main line)Over 1.61 · Under 2.20

referee 3.93 is 0.4 above; teams added together 4.15 is 0.7 above; blend 4.22 is 0.7 above

bet365as of 20:00 on 16 Septolder price

Pinnacle · line 3Over 1.31 · Under 3.20

referee 3.93 is 0.9 above; teams added together 4.15 is 1.2 above; blend 4.22 is 1.2 above

Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 16 Septolder price

Pinnacle · line 3.5Over 1.59 · Under 2.29

referee 3.93 is 0.4 above; teams added together 4.15 is 0.7 above; blend 4.22 is 0.7 above

Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 16 Septolder price

Pinnacle · line 4Over 1.90 · Under 1.88

referee 3.93 is 0.1 below; teams added together 4.15 is 0.2 above; blend 4.22 is 0.2 above

Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 16 Septolder price

Pinnacle · line 4.5Over 2.30 · Under 1.58

referee 3.93 is 0.6 below; teams added together 4.15 is 0.3 below; blend 4.22 is 0.3 below

Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 16 Septolder price

Pinnacle · line 5Over 3.01 · Under 1.35

referee 3.93 is 1.1 below; teams added together 4.15 is 0.8 below; blend 4.22 is 0.8 below

Pinnacleas of 20:00 on 16 Septolder price

Total cardsvia match book

Source66%Venueover 3.5 hit rate

Source61%Overallover 3.5 hit rate

Source61%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate

Source56%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate

Average61%Averageaverage of the hit rates above

Market

Total Cards Over / Under 3.5

Settled · card count not recorded

Market State

Settled

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Open

Close

Move

Over 3.5

—

Estimate

—

bet365

—

Pinnacle

1.61

bet365

1.59

Pinnacle

—

Moved

Under 3.5

—

Estimate

—

bet365

—

Pinnacle

2.20

bet365

2.29

Pinnacle

—

Moved

ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.

bet365as of 20:00 on 16 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 16 Septolder price

Market

Total Cards Over / Under 4.5

Settled · card count not recorded

Market State

Settled

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Open

Close

Move

Over 4.5

—

Estimate

—

bet365

—

Pinnacle

2.20

bet365

2.30

Pinnacle

—

Moved

Under 4.5

—

Estimate

—

bet365

—

Pinnacle

1.61

bet365

1.58

Pinnacle

—

Moved

ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.

bet365as of 20:00 on 16 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 16 Septolder price

Market

Asian Handicap Cards 0

Settled · card count not recorded

Market State

Settled

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Open

Close

Move

AC Milan 0

—

Estimate

—

bet365

—

Pinnacle

1.77

bet365

1.78

Pinnacle

—

Moved

Benfica 0

—

Estimate

—

bet365

—

Pinnacle

2.02

bet365

1.97

Pinnacle

—

Moved

ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.

bet365as of 20:00 on 16 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 16 Septolder price

AC Milan (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line

Source60%Venueover 1.5 hit rate

Source54%Overallover 1.5 hit rate

Source24%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate

Average46%Averageaverage of the hit rates above

Benfica (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line

Source55%Venueover 1.5 hit rate

Source58%Overallover 1.5 hit rate

Source33%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate

Average49%Averageaverage of the hit rates above

Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Settled · card count not recorded

Market State

Settled

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Open

Close

Move

Yes

—

Estimate

—

bet365

—

Pinnacle

1.25

bet365

—

Pinnacle

—

Moved

No

—

Estimate

—

bet365

—

Pinnacle

3.75

bet365

—

Pinnacle

—

Moved

ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.

bet365as of 20:00 on 16 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line

Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Settled · card count not recorded

Market State

Settled

Outcome

Sanstari estimate

Open

Close

Move

Yes

—

Estimate

—

bet365

—

Pinnacle

2.20

bet365

—

Pinnacle

—

Moved

No

—

Estimate

—

bet365

—

Pinnacle

1.61

bet365

—

Pinnacle

—

Moved

ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.

Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.

bet365as of 20:00 on 16 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line

Total cards lines

Every line bet365 and Pinnacle quote

bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under

3––1.313.20

3.51.612.201.592.29

4––1.901.88

4.52.201.612.301.58

5––3.011.35

A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.

bet365as of 20:00 on 16 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 16 Septolder price

Asian Handicap Cards

Each side with the handicap it carries, in cards

bet365Pinnacle

AC Milan -0.5–2.26

AC Milan 01.771.78

AC Milan +0.5–1.47

Benfica -0.5–2.51

Benfica 02.021.97

Benfica +0.5–1.57

A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that handicap.

bet365as of 20:00 on 16 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 20:00 on 16 Septolder price

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