SBI
EUROPA LEAGUE
Crystal Palace
LDLWL
Kick-off17:45
TSG Hoffenheim
LWWWL
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · 17:45 · Selhurst Park
U GLS2.37O GLS1.57BTTS NO2.25BTTS YES1.57LYO WIN4.75DRAW4.00RSO WIN1.70O GLS1.61U GLS2.30BTTS YES1.53BTTS NO2.37RBS WIN3.70DRAW3.75ADL WIN1.95O GLS1.80U GLS2.00BTTS NO2.05BTTS YES1.70DRAW3.60LEV WIN1.95U GLS2.37O GLS1.57BTTS NO2.25BTTS YES1.57LYO WIN4.75DRAW4.00RSO WIN1.70O GLS1.61U GLS2.30BTTS YES1.53BTTS NO2.37RBS WIN3.70DRAW3.75ADL WIN1.95O GLS1.80U GLS2.00BTTS NO2.05BTTS YES1.70DRAW3.60LEV WIN1.95
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
Crystal PalaceTSG Hoffenheim
2.0
Team cards · per game
2.5
4.0
Total match cards · per game
4.3
Hit rates · home v away
L2042%
Cards match bet W%
L2028%
L2069%
Both teams carded
L2075%
L2067%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2069%
L2054%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2066%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2071%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2087%
L2058%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2073%
L2033%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2053%
L2013%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2020%
Team cards by line · overall
L2081%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2091%
L2067%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2069%
L2042%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2053%
L208%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2025%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 23 matches
Match average
4.78 YELLOWS / GAME
Horatiu Fesnic
Europa League · 23 matches in the last 12 months
23
Apps
110
Yellows
4.78
Yellows / game
8
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards2.26 avg
Away cards2.87 avg
Both teams16/2370%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref83%+1.519/23 matches
Ref78%+2.518/23 matches
Ref52%+3.512/23 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Model state
OVER 3.5 · 57%
Model has over 3.5 total cards at 57%. Odds cards show price vs model fair.
Total cardsvia match book
Source57%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source60%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source59%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source52%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model57%MasterP(over 3.5)
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +0.6% over fair — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
No Edge To Take
1.76
Tissue
1.75
At exch margin
1.75
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
+0.6%
Below Bar
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
2.34
Tissue
2.32
At exch margin
2.05
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-11.5%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Asian Handicap Cards 0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Crystal Palace 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
3.00
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
TSG Hoffenheim 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
1.34
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Crystal Palace (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source58%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source67%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source40%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model55%MasterP(over 1.5)
TSG Hoffenheim (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source73%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source69%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source28%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model57%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
Against Tissue
1.39
Tissue
1.39
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
-1.5%
Against Tissue
No
Against Tissue
3.60
Tissue
3.60
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
3.25
Bet365
-7.1%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.62
Bet365
—
No Edge
No
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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