SBI
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE
FC Midtjylland
DWLWW
Kick-off17:45
Ajax
LWWWW
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · 17:45 · MCH Arena
O GLS1.47U GLS2.60BTTS NO2.75BTTS YES1.40DRAW3.70AJA WIN2.45FCM WIN2.62U GLS1.85O GLS1.95BTTS NO1.90BTTS YES1.80DRAW3.50SCB WIN1.95AGF WIN3.80O GLS1.28U GLS3.60BTTS YES2.62BTTS NO1.44INT WIN34.00DRAW11.00O GLS1.47U GLS2.60BTTS NO2.75BTTS YES1.40DRAW3.70AJA WIN2.45FCM WIN2.62U GLS1.85O GLS1.95BTTS NO1.90BTTS YES1.80DRAW3.50SCB WIN1.95AGF WIN3.80O GLS1.28U GLS3.60BTTS YES2.62BTTS NO1.44INT WIN34.00DRAW11.00
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
6 TO 8 RANGE
Most likely band is 6 to 8. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.1
FC Midtjylland · for
at home, per game
11.3
Total corners · projected
μ 11.31
5.2
Ajax · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 6 to 8Price3.10Fair3.23(31%)▼ 4.1%
6 to 8£10.00Returns£31.00
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 8.5
No Edge To Take
1.26
Tissue
1.26
At exch margin
1.56
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Under 8.5
No Edge To Take
4.90
Tissue
4.90
At exch margin
2.37
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 9.5
Value Edge
1.45
Tissue
1.44
At exch margin
1.93
Pinnacle
1.92
Bet365
+36.2%
Value Edge
Under 9.5
Against Tissue
3.30
Tissue
3.25
At exch margin
1.86
Pinnacle
1.87
Bet365
-41.6%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Asian Handicap Corners 0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
FC Midtjylland 0
No Edge To Take
1.64
Tissue
1.63
At exch margin
1.57
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Ajax 0
No Edge To Take
2.58
Tissue
2.56
At exch margin
2.21
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
FC MidtjyllandAjax
5.8
Corners for · per game
5.5
4.6
Corners against · per game
4.1
Hit rates · over markets
L2080%
Over 3.5 corners
L2073%
L2065%
Over 4.5 corners
L2055%
L2048%
Over 5.5 corners
L2041%
L2054%
Over 9.5 total
L2043%
L2042%
Over 10.5 total
L2035%
L2057%
Match corners W%
L2050%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
0%
Under 6
13%
38%
6 to 8
20%
40%
9 to 11
28%
15%
12 to 14
25%
8%
Over 14
15%
FC Midtjylland · 40 matchesAjax · 40 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+2.5 · FC MIDTJYLLAND
FC Midtjylland · home
+2.5
net per game
For
6.2
Against
3.7
Ajax · away
-0.2
net per game
For
4.8
Against
5.0
Market

FC Midtjylland Corners Over / Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
Value Edge
1.38
Tissue
1.38
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
+28.4%
Value Edge
Under 4.5
Against Tissue
3.65
Tissue
3.65
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-43.7%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Ajax Corners Over / Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
Value Edge
1.67
Tissue
1.66
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+17.3%
Value Edge
Under 4.5
Against Tissue
2.52
Tissue
2.50
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-26.2%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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