SBI
EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE
AGF
LDDWL
Kick-off17:45
Sporting Braga
LLWLW
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · 17:45
U GLS2.87O GLS1.40BTTS YES1.57BTTS NO2.25FCN WIN6.50ASM WIN1.42DRAW5.00U GLS3.10O GLS1.36BTTS NO1.83BTTS YES1.83LUGA WIN1.20DRAW6.50KAU WIN13.00O GLS1.40U GLS2.87BTTS YES2.10BTTS NO1.66COP WIN1.16DRAW6.50U GLS2.87O GLS1.40BTTS YES1.57BTTS NO2.25FCN WIN6.50ASM WIN1.42DRAW5.00U GLS3.10O GLS1.36BTTS NO1.83BTTS YES1.83LUGA WIN1.20DRAW6.50KAU WIN13.00O GLS1.40U GLS2.87BTTS YES2.10BTTS NO1.66COP WIN1.16DRAW6.50
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
5.6
AGF · for
at home, per game
10.7
Total corners · projected
μ 10.75
5.2
Sporting Braga · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.62Fair3.47(29%)▼ 24.4%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£26.20
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
AGFSporting Braga
5.6
Corners for · per game
5.4
4.3
Corners against · per game
3.3
Hit rates · over markets
L2069%
Over 3.5 corners
L2071%
L2060%
Over 4.5 corners
L2063%
L2049%
Over 5.5 corners
L2043%
L2049%
Over 9.5 total
L2040%
L2041%
Over 10.5 total
L2031%
L2060%
Match corners W%
L2073%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
6%
Under 6
24%
29%
6 to 8
33%
29%
9 to 11
29%
23%
12 to 14
13%
14%
Over 14
0%
AGF · 35 matchesSporting Braga · 45 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+2.9 · AGF
AGF · home
+2.9
net per game
For
6.5
Against
3.6
Sporting Braga · away
+1.1
net per game
For
5.0
Against
3.9
Market

AGF Corners Over / Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
Value Edge
1.54
Tissue
1.53
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
+46.7%
Value Edge
Under 4.5
Against Tissue
2.88
Tissue
2.86
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
-42.5%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Sporting Braga Corners Over / Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
Value Edge
1.69
Tissue
1.68
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+9.1%
Value Edge
Under 4.5
Against Tissue
2.46
Tissue
2.44
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-20.8%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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