PRIMERA DIVISION
Cerro
WLDWW
- Rodríguez 26'
FT1 – 2
Peñarol
WDLWW
- Arezo 15'
- Jaime 77'
Saturday, 19 September 2026 · 19:30
Match forecast
Total corners · past games
Past corner counts for both teams
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
2.8
Cerro · for
this season, per game
7.4
Total corners · past games added together
4.6
Peñarol · for
this season, per game
Range market · bookmaker prices
Under 6
Price7.00
WON6 to 8
Price2.75
LOST9 to 11
Price2.75
LOST12 to 14
Price5.00
LOSTOver 14
Price13.00
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 9
Settled · FT 1–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
1.90
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
1.87
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 19:30 on 19 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 19:30 on 19 Septolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 8.5
Settled · FT 1–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.69
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 8.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 19:30 on 19 Septolder price
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 1–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.13
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 9.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365no price on this linePinnacleas of 19:30 on 19 Septolder price
Total corners lines
bet365's main line is 9; Pinnacle lines 9 to 11 shown
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
92.202.101.901.87
9.5––2.131.67
102.751.612.481.50
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 19:30 on 19 Septolder pricePinnacleas of 19:30 on 19 Septolder price
bet365 alternative corner lines
Within three of the main line (9)
OverUnder
61.207.00
71.404.33
81.662.75
102.751.61
114.001.40
126.001.22
A dash means bet365 does not list that line as an alternative.
bet365as of 19:30 on 19 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Corner Handicap (3-way), bet365
Team plus or minus the handicap in corners; the tie pays if the handicapped sides finish level
bet365
Cerro +22.20
Tie after the handicap7.50
Peñarol -21.90
bet365as of 19:30 on 19 Septolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Line check
Line vs averages
Bookmaker corner lines beside past-game averages. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Averages, matches played this season: Cerro 35 matches; Peñarol 36 matches
- Hit rates: all matches on record for each side (Cerro 109, Peñarol 115)
Cerro corners for 2.80 a game, Peñarol 4.58, together 7.38 against a 9 line.
Blending each side's corners for with the other's corners against gives Cerro 3.11 and Peñarol 5.01, together 8.11 against a 9 line.
The added-together figure is 1.6 below the 9 line; the blend is 0.9 below it.
Hit rates are kept for half lines only; either side of 9 (share of each side's matches that finished over the line, Cerro 109 matches, Peñarol 115 matches): over 8.5: Cerro 54%, Peñarol 44%; over 9.5: Cerro 39%, Peñarol 30%.
Corners for at the venues: Cerro at home 3.24 (17 matches), Peñarol away 4.12 (17 matches), together 7.35.
bet365 · line 9 (main line)Over 2.20 · Under 2.10
added together 7.38 is 1.6 below; blend 8.11 is 0.9 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
bet365as of 19:30 on 19 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 9Over 1.90 · Under 1.87
added together 7.38 is 1.6 below; blend 8.11 is 0.9 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 19:30 on 19 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 9.5Over 2.13 · Under 1.67
added together 7.38 is 2.1 below; blend 8.11 is 1.4 below
Cerro 39%, Peñarol 30% of matches went over
Pinnacleas of 19:30 on 19 Septolder price
Pinnacle · line 10Over 2.48 · Under 1.50
added together 7.38 is 2.6 below; blend 8.11 is 1.9 below
hit rate is kept for half lines only
Pinnacleas of 19:30 on 19 Septolder price
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
CerroPeñarol
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2033%Over 3.5 cornersL2079%
L2031%Over 4.5 cornersL2058%
L2017%Over 5.5 cornersL2039%
L2039%Over 9.5 totalL2030%
L2030%Over 10.5 totalL2024%
L2013%Match corners W%L2067%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
23%Under 614%
28%6 to 833%
33%9 to 1137%
15%12 to 1414%
3%Over 142%
Cerro · 40 matchesPeñarol · 43 matches
Differential profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net difference
+1.6 · PEÑAROL
Cerro · home
-1.3
net per game
Peñarol · away
+1.6
net per game
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