SBI
CARABAO CUP
Sunderland
LWLDD
  • Talbi 26'
  • Tuterov 29'
  • Fofana 39'
FT3 – 2
Brentford
WWDLD
  • Wilson 42'
  • Thiago 90+4'
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · 19:45 · Stadium of Light
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 3–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.4
Sunderland · for
at home, per game
11.6
Total corners · projected
μ 11.60
5.2
Brentford · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price11.00
Fair8.26
WON
6 to 8
Price3.25
Fair4.19
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.60
Fair3.41
LOST
12 to 14
Price4.00
Fair4.19
LOST
Over 14
Price9.00
Fair9.24
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.23
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.52
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
5.50
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.39
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.75
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
3.60
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.08
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Asian Handicap Corners 0

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Sunderland 0
1.52
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.95
bet365
2.16
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Brentford 0
2.94
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.85
bet365
1.67
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
SunderlandBrentford
4.8
Corners for · per game
4.6
4.7
Corners against · per game
5.7
Hit rates · over markets
L2055%
Over 3.5 corners
L2060%
L2045%
Over 4.5 corners
L2048%
L2033%
Over 5.5 corners
L2033%
L2043%
Over 9.5 total
L2063%
L2033%
Over 10.5 total
L2054%
L2036%
Match corners W%
L2050%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
10%
Under 6
13%
31%
6 to 8
20%
40%
9 to 11
28%
14%
12 to 14
28%
5%
Over 14
13%
Sunderland · 42 matchesBrentford · 40 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+0.9 · SUNDERLAND
Sunderland · home
+0.9
net per game
For
5.2
Against
4.3
Brentford · away
-1.7
net per game
For
4.6
Against
6.2
Market

Sunderland Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.31
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
4.30
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Brentford Corners Over / Under 5.5

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 5.5
2.42
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 5.5
1.72
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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