CARABAO CUP
Everton
WWDLL
- Garner 34'
- Hackney 45'
- Barry 69'
FT3 – 1
Newcastle United
LWLLW
- Burn 88'
Thursday, 29 October 2026 · 19:45 · Hill Dickinson Stadium
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 3–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.6
Everton · for
at home, per game
11.7
Total corners · projected
6.1
Newcastle United · for
away, per game
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price11.00
Fair9.70
LOST6 to 8
Price3.25
Fair4.24
LOST9 to 11
Price2.60
Fair2.93
LOST12 to 14
Price4.00
Fair5.05
WONOver 14
Price9.00
Fair8.18
LOSTMarket
Total Corners Over / Under 8.5
Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.22
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.54
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
5.60
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.46
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Total Corners Over / Under 9.5
Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.38
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
3.65
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.28
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Asian Handicap Corners 0
Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Everton 0
2.28
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
1.76
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Newcastle United 0
1.79
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
2.02
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
EvertonNewcastle United
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2069%Over 3.5 cornersL2076%
L2047%Over 4.5 cornersL2062%
L2029%Over 5.5 cornersL2050%
L2050%Over 9.5 totalL2062%
L2042%Over 10.5 totalL2051%
L2043%Match corners W%L2050%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
11%Under 67%
26%6 to 820%
37%9 to 1135%
17%12 to 1424%
9%Over 1415%
Everton · 35 matchesNewcastle United · 46 matches
Edge profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+0.1 · NEWCASTLE UNITED
Everton · home
-0.2
net per game
Newcastle United · away
+0.1
net per game
Market
Everton Corners Over / Under 4.5
Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.53
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
2.94
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market
Newcastle United Corners Over / Under 4.5
Settled · FT 3–1
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.39
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
3.60
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.83
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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