FA CUP
Milton Keynes Dons
WLWWW
Kick-off15:00
Swindon Town
LDWDW
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 15:00
DRAW5.00-4.8%PTU WIN2.70+3.1%RDG WIN2.30-2.1%GBT WIN1.33STA WIN7.00DRAW3.80PLY WIN2.05BER WIN2.90DRAW3.40ALT WIN4.20DRAW3.80NOT WIN1.70SHF WIN1.90OAT WIN3.60DRAW3.50DRAW4.75WIM WIN6.00CRT WIN1.40DRAW7.00STO WIN1.14DRAW5.00-4.8%PTU WIN2.70+3.1%RDG WIN2.30-2.1%GBT WIN1.33STA WIN7.00DRAW3.80PLY WIN2.05BER WIN2.90DRAW3.40ALT WIN4.20DRAW3.80NOT WIN1.70SHF WIN1.90OAT WIN3.60DRAW3.50DRAW4.75WIM WIN6.00CRT WIN1.40DRAW7.00STO WIN1.14
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.0
Milton Keynes Dons · for
at home, per game
11.0
Total corners · projected
5.0
Swindon Town · for
away, per game
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.62Fair2.85(35%)▼ 8.1%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£26.20
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Milton Keynes DonsSwindon Town
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2066%Over 3.5 cornersL2073%
L2051%Over 4.5 cornersL2054%
L2039%Over 5.5 cornersL2039%
L2049%Over 9.5 totalL2076%
L2034%Over 10.5 totalL2068%
L2046%Match corners W%L2032%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
10%Under 62%
29%6 to 815%
41%9 to 1132%
7%12 to 1432%
12%Over 1420%
Milton Keynes Dons · 41 matchesSwindon Town · 41 matches
Edge profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
NO DATA
Milton Keynes Dons · home
—
net per game
Swindon Town · away
—
net per game
Market
Milton Keynes Dons Corners Over / Under 6.5
Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +3.1% over fair — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 6.5
Against Tissue2.54
Tissue
2.52
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-14.6%
Against Tissue
Under 6.5
No Edge To Take1.66
Tissue
1.65
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
+3.1%
Below Bar
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market
Swindon Town Corners Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge1.36
Tissue
1.35
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
+30.3%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue3.85
Tissue
3.85
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-46.7%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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