FA CUP
Plymouth Argyle
WLLWD
Kick-off15:00
Alvechurch
WWWDW
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 15:00
DRAW5.00-4.8%PTU WIN2.70+3.1%RDG WIN2.30-2.1%GBT WIN1.33STA WIN7.00DRAW3.80PLY WIN2.05BER WIN2.90DRAW3.40ALT WIN4.20DRAW3.80NOT WIN1.70SHF WIN1.90OAT WIN3.60DRAW3.50DRAW4.75WIM WIN6.00CRT WIN1.40DRAW7.00STO WIN1.14DRAW5.00-4.8%PTU WIN2.70+3.1%RDG WIN2.30-2.1%GBT WIN1.33STA WIN7.00DRAW3.80PLY WIN2.05BER WIN2.90DRAW3.40ALT WIN4.20DRAW3.80NOT WIN1.70SHF WIN1.90OAT WIN3.60DRAW3.50DRAW4.75WIM WIN6.00CRT WIN1.40DRAW7.00STO WIN1.14
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
12 TO 14 RANGE
Most likely band is 12 to 14. Range chips show price vs model fair.
4.4
Plymouth Argyle · for
at home, per game
8.8
Total corners · projected
4.4
Alvechurch · for
away, per game
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 12 to 14Price3.75Fair3.09(32%)▲ 21.3%
12 to 14£10.00Returns£37.50
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Plymouth ArgyleAlvechurch
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2067%Over 3.5 cornersL200%
L2044%Over 4.5 cornersL200%
L2031%Over 5.5 cornersL200%
L2060%Over 9.5 totalL200%
L2046%Over 10.5 totalL200%
L2037%Match corners W%L200%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
4%Under 6100%
24%6 to 80%
31%9 to 110%
31%12 to 140%
11%Over 140%
Plymouth Argyle · 75 matchesAlvechurch · 1 matches
Edge profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
-0.5 · PLYMOUTH ARGYLE
Plymouth Argyle · home
-0.5
net per game
Alvechurch · away
-1.0
net per game
Market
Plymouth Argyle Corners Over / Under 6.5
Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 6.5
Against Tissue6.60
Tissue
6.60
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-73.1%
Against Tissue
Under 6.5
Value Edge1.18
Tissue
1.18
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+73.9%
Value Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market
Alvechurch Corners Over / Under 2.5
Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 2.5
Value Edge1.23
Tissue
1.23
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.57
Bet365
+30.8%
Value Edge
Under 2.5
Against Tissue5.40
Tissue
5.40
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.25
Bet365
-57.5%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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