SBI
FA CUP
Altrincham
DW
Kick-off17:30
Notts County
LLWDW
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 17:30
DRAW5.00-4.8%PTU WIN2.70+3.1%RDG WIN2.30-2.1%GBT WIN1.33STA WIN7.00DRAW3.80PLY WIN2.05BER WIN2.90DRAW3.40ALT WIN4.20DRAW3.80NOT WIN1.70SHF WIN1.90OAT WIN3.60DRAW3.50DRAW4.75WIM WIN6.00CRT WIN1.40DRAW7.00STO WIN1.14DRAW5.00-4.8%PTU WIN2.70+3.1%RDG WIN2.30-2.1%GBT WIN1.33STA WIN7.00DRAW3.80PLY WIN2.05BER WIN2.90DRAW3.40ALT WIN4.20DRAW3.80NOT WIN1.70SHF WIN1.90OAT WIN3.60DRAW3.50DRAW4.75WIM WIN6.00CRT WIN1.40DRAW7.00STO WIN1.14
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
6 TO 8 RANGE
Most likely band is 6 to 8. Range chips show price vs model fair.
8.2
Altrincham · for
at home, per game
12.5
Total corners · projected
μ 12.54
4.3
Notts County · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 6 to 8Price3.40Fair2.70(37%)▲ 26.0%
6 to 8£10.00Returns£34.00
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
AltrinchamNotts County
7.5
Corners for · per game
4.9
2.0
Corners against · per game
4.4
Hit rates · over markets
L20100%
Over 3.5 corners
L2063%
L2050%
Over 4.5 corners
L2053%
L2050%
Over 5.5 corners
L2040%
L2050%
Over 9.5 total
L2045%
L2050%
Over 10.5 total
L2035%
L20100%
Match corners W%
L2055%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
50%
Under 6
9%
0%
6 to 8
38%
0%
9 to 11
31%
0%
12 to 14
18%
50%
Over 14
4%
Altrincham · 2 matchesNotts County · 78 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+7.0 · ALTRINCHAM
Altrincham · home
+7.0
net per game
For
11.0
Against
4.0
Notts County · away
-0.6
net per game
For
4.4
Against
5.0
Market

Altrincham Corners Over / Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
Value Edge
1.10
Tissue
1.09
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
+96.3%
Value Edge
Under 4.5
Against Tissue
11.50
Tissue
11.50
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-85.6%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Notts County Corners Over / Under 5.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 5.5
Against Tissue
3.80
Tissue
3.75
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-49.9%
Against Tissue
Under 5.5
Value Edge
1.37
Tissue
1.36
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+37.6%
Value Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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