SBI
FA CUP
York City
DDWLL
Kick-off15:00
Northampton Town
WLWDL
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 15:00
WIG WIN3.10+8.0%BOR WIN1.90-7.3%PTU WIN2.70+3.1%DRAW3.90+2.6%RDG WIN2.30-2.1%DRAW3.40NOT WIN1.70DRAW3.80ALT WIN4.20DRAW3.50SHF WIN1.90OAT WIN3.60WIM WIN6.00CRT WIN1.40DRAW4.75DRAW7.00CRA WIN15.00STO WIN1.14DRAW5.25GBT WIN1.33WIG WIN3.10+8.0%BOR WIN1.90-7.3%PTU WIN2.70+3.1%DRAW3.90+2.6%RDG WIN2.30-2.1%DRAW3.40NOT WIN1.70DRAW3.80ALT WIN4.20DRAW3.50SHF WIN1.90OAT WIN3.60WIM WIN6.00CRT WIN1.40DRAW4.75DRAW7.00CRA WIN15.00STO WIN1.14DRAW5.25GBT WIN1.33
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.4
York City · for
at home, per game
11.3
Total corners · projected
μ 11.35
5.0
Northampton Town · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.60Fair3.09(32%)▼ 15.9%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£26.00
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
York CityNorthampton Town
5.4
Corners for · per game
4.4
4.7
Corners against · per game
5.0
Hit rates · over markets
L2087%
Over 3.5 corners
L2073%
L2053%
Over 4.5 corners
L2050%
L2053%
Over 5.5 corners
L2034%
L2053%
Over 9.5 total
L2052%
L2047%
Over 10.5 total
L2039%
L2060%
Match corners W%
L2048%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
0%
Under 6
8%
33%
6 to 8
24%
27%
9 to 11
38%
40%
12 to 14
23%
0%
Over 14
8%
York City · 15 matchesNorthampton Town · 66 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+1.5 · YORK CITY
York City · home
+1.5
net per game
For
5.9
Against
4.4
Northampton Town · away
-1.7
net per game
For
4.1
Against
5.8
Market

York City Corners Over / Under 5.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 5.5
Value Edge
1.65
Tissue
1.64
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+12.5%
Value Edge
Under 5.5
Against Tissue
2.56
Tissue
2.56
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-24.0%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Northampton Town Corners Over / Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
Value Edge
1.79
Tissue
1.78
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
+26.4%
Value Edge
Under 4.5
Against Tissue
2.28
Tissue
2.26
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
-27.5%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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