SBI
SERIE A
Botafogo
LDWLL
Kick-off00:30
Atlético Mineiro
DWWLL
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · 00:30
AMN WIN5.75+64.3%REM WIN13.00+30.0%DRAW8.00+23.1%SAO WIN2.60+20.9%DRAW6.50+18.2%BOT WIN1.60-17.9%CTH WIN3.00-14.3%GRE WIN17.00+13.3%DRAW4.00+11.1%APR WIN2.25+4.7%VTO WIN2.87+4.4%DRAW3.00-3.2%VAG WIN3.20+3.2%DRAW3.40-2.9%DRAW3.90+2.6%CRZ WIN1.70+2.4%FLA WIN1.14-1.7%DRAW3.25+1.6%FLU WIN2.55BAH WIN4.75AMN WIN5.75+64.3%REM WIN13.00+30.0%DRAW8.00+23.1%SAO WIN2.60+20.9%DRAW6.50+18.2%BOT WIN1.60-17.9%CTH WIN3.00-14.3%GRE WIN17.00+13.3%DRAW4.00+11.1%APR WIN2.25+4.7%VTO WIN2.87+4.4%DRAW3.00-3.2%VAG WIN3.20+3.2%DRAW3.40-2.9%DRAW3.90+2.6%CRZ WIN1.70+2.4%FLA WIN1.14-1.7%DRAW3.25+1.6%FLU WIN2.55BAH WIN4.75
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
BotafogoAtlético Mineiro
2.9
Team cards · per game
1.8
5.1
Total match cards · per game
4.1
Hit rates · home v away
L2020%
Cards match bet W%
L2056%
L2078%
Both teams carded
L2071%
L2083%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2054%
L2070%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2046%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2095%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2089%
L2085%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2063%
L2045%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2032%
L2020%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2011%
Team cards by line · overall
L2095%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2078%
L2083%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2054%
L2053%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2024%
L2035%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2010%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 18 matches
Match average
4.00 YELLOWS / GAME
Lucas Casagrande
Serie A · 18 matches in the last 12 months
18
Apps
72
Yellows
4.00
Yellows / game
1
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards2.11 avg
Away cards1.94 avg
Both teams15/1883%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref89%+1.516/18 matches
Ref61%+2.511/18 matches
Ref61%+3.511/18 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Model state
OVER 3.5 · 61%
Model has over 3.5 total cards at 61%. Odds cards show price vs model fair.
Total cardsvia match book
Source67%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source58%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source59%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source61%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model61%MasterP(over 3.5)
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge
1.64
Tissue
1.63
At exch margin
1.65
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
+13.2%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
2.60
Tissue
2.58
At exch margin
2.19
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-24.6%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
2.47
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
—
No Edge
Under 4.5
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
1.51
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Asian Handicap Cards 0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Botafogo 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
2.13
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Atlético Mineiro 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
1.67
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Botafogo (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source85%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source83%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source41%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model70%MasterP(over 1.5)
Atlético Mineiro (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source63%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source54%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source28%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model48%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +1.5% over fair — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
No Edge To Take
1.35
Tissue
1.34
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
+1.5%
Below Bar
No
Against Tissue
3.95
Tissue
3.90
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
3.25
Bet365
-15.6%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.50
Bet365
—
No Edge
No
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.50
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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