SBI
SERIE A
Botafogo
LDWLL
Kick-off00:30
Atlético Mineiro
DWWLL
Thursday, 5 November 2026 · 00:30
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
6.2
Botafogo · for
at home, per game
11.4
Total corners · projected
μ 11.44
5.2
Atlético Mineiro · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.75Fair3.39(29%)▼ 18.9%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£27.50
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 9.5
No Edge To Take
1.42
Tissue
1.42
At exch margin
1.46
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Under 9.5
No Edge To Take
3.40
Tissue
3.40
At exch margin
2.56
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
BotafogoAtlético Mineiro
5.1
Corners for · per game
5.3
4.6
Corners against · per game
5.0
Hit rates · over markets
L2065%
Over 3.5 corners
L2068%
L2054%
Over 4.5 corners
L2053%
L2042%
Over 5.5 corners
L2039%
L2052%
Over 9.5 total
L2054%
L2039%
Over 10.5 total
L2044%
L2035%
Match corners W%
L2051%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
10%
Under 6
7%
30%
6 to 8
17%
28%
9 to 11
34%
18%
12 to 14
17%
15%
Over 14
24%
Botafogo · 40 matchesAtlético Mineiro · 41 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+1.8 · BOTAFOGO
Botafogo · home
+1.8
net per game
For
5.8
Against
4.0
Atlético Mineiro · away
-0.9
net per game
For
4.7
Against
5.6
Market

Botafogo Corners Over / Under 6.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 6.5
Against Tissue
2.34
Tissue
2.34
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
-7.9%
Against Tissue
Under 6.5
Against Tissue
1.75
Tissue
1.74
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-2.4%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Atlético Mineiro Corners Over / Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
Value Edge
1.68
Tissue
1.67
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+12.3%
Value Edge
Under 4.5
Against Tissue
2.50
Tissue
2.48
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-24.4%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.