SBI
PRIMERA DIVISION
Everton
DWWLW
  • Alfaro 28'
  • Martínez (pen) 78'
  • Silva (pen) 89'
FT3 – 2
La Serena
WDWWL
  • Chamorro 10'
  • Marín 56'
  • Gutiérrez 90+9'
Sunday, 11 October 2026 · 16:30
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 3–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
7.0
Everton · for
at home, per game
11.9
Total corners · projected
μ 11.92
5.0
La Serena · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price15.00
Fair12.16
LOST
6 to 8
Price4.00
Fair4.44
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.62
Fair2.90
WON
12 to 14
Price3.50
Fair3.68
LOST
Over 14
Price6.00
Fair13.18
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.34
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.58
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
4.10
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.33
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
EvertonLa Serena
—
Corners for · per game
—
—
Corners against · per game
—
Hit rates · over markets
L2057%
Over 3.5 corners
L2057%
L2043%
Over 4.5 corners
L2038%
L2033%
Over 5.5 corners
L2021%
L2060%
Over 9.5 total
L2067%
L2040%
Over 10.5 total
L2062%
L2038%
Match corners W%
L2024%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
13%
Under 6
5%
23%
6 to 8
21%
33%
9 to 11
33%
25%
12 to 14
31%
8%
Over 14
10%
Everton · 40 matchesLa Serena · 42 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
NO DATA
Everton · home
—
net per game
For
—
Against
—
La Serena · away
—
net per game
For
—
Against
—
Market

Everton Corners Over / Under 6.5

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 6.5
1.84
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 6.5
2.22
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

La Serena Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT 3–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.38
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
3.70
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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