SBI
SERIE A
Monza
LWLWL
  • Varela 43'
FT1 – 4
Napoli
WLLWD
  • Højlund 10'
  • Politano 48'
  • Marín 62'
  • De Bruyne 67'
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 · 19:45
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–4
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
4.8
Monza · for
at home, per game
10.1
Total corners · projected
μ 10.13
5.3
Napoli · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price6.50
Fair6.91
WON
6 to 8
Price2.62
Fair2.98
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.75
Fair4.27
LOST
12 to 14
Price5.50
Fair4.61
LOST
Over 14
Price13.00
Fair14.67
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 1–4
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.47
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
1.55
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
3.15
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
2.41
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 1–4
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.80
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.92
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
2.28
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.93
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
MonzaNapoli
4.5
Corners for · per game
5.4
4.3
Corners against · per game
3.6
Hit rates · over markets
L2068%
Over 3.5 corners
L2069%
L2048%
Over 4.5 corners
L2058%
L2040%
Over 5.5 corners
L2045%
L2041%
Over 9.5 total
L2042%
L2027%
Over 10.5 total
L2031%
L2055%
Match corners W%
L2062%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
11%
Under 6
14%
34%
6 to 8
40%
21%
9 to 11
26%
29%
12 to 14
17%
5%
Over 14
2%
Monza · 38 matchesNapoli · 42 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+0.8 · MONZA
Monza · home
+0.8
net per game
For
4.8
Against
4.0
Napoli · away
+0.7
net per game
For
4.7
Against
4.0
Market

Monza Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT 1–4
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.41
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
3.50
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Napoli Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 1–4
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.65
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
2.56
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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