SBI
EREDIVISIE
Ajax
DLWWW
  • Arokodare 9'
FT1 – 0
AZ Alkmaar
LWDWL
Saturday, 31 October 2026 · 20:00 · Johan Cruijff Arena
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–0
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
5.9
Ajax · for
at home, per game
11.3
Total corners · projected
μ 11.34
5.4
AZ Alkmaar · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price11.00
Fair11.22
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.25
Fair5.10
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.60
Fair2.98
WON
12 to 14
Price4.00
Fair4.43
LOST
Over 14
Price9.00
Fair6.49
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.26
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
5.00
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.63
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.44
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.77
bet365
1.74
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
3.30
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.02
bet365
2.07
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
AjaxAZ Alkmaar
5.5
Corners for · per game
6.1
4.1
Corners against · per game
4.0
Hit rates · over markets
L2075%
Over 3.5 corners
L2080%
L2055%
Over 4.5 corners
L2066%
L2041%
Over 5.5 corners
L2057%
L2043%
Over 9.5 total
L2054%
L2035%
Over 10.5 total
L2038%
L2053%
Match corners W%
L2066%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
13%
Under 6
0%
20%
6 to 8
24%
28%
9 to 11
37%
25%
12 to 14
24%
15%
Over 14
15%
Ajax · 40 matchesAZ Alkmaar · 41 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+2.8 · AJAX
Ajax · home
+2.8
net per game
For
6.1
Against
3.3
AZ Alkmaar · away
+1.2
net per game
For
5.8
Against
4.6
Market

Ajax Corners Over / Under 5.5

Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 5.5
1.85
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 5.5
2.20
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

AZ Alkmaar Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 1–0
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.59
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
2.70
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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