SBI
EREDIVISIE
NEC Nijmegen
DDDDW
  • Bischoff 57'
  • Lebreton 71'
FT2 – 2
FC Groningen
DDWWL
  • Willumsson 11'
  • Willumsson 34'
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · 13:30 · Goffertstadion
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 2–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.1
NEC Nijmegen · for
at home, per game
11.0
Total corners · projected
μ 11.02
4.9
FC Groningen · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price13.00
Fair9.24
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.50
Fair4.07
LOST
9 to 11
Price2.62
Fair4.07
LOST
12 to 14
Price3.75
Fair3.63
WON
Over 14
Price8.00
Fair8.01
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 2–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.52
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.68
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
2.96
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.12
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
NEC NijmegenFC Groningen
5.4
Corners for · per game
5.0
4.5
Corners against · per game
4.8
Hit rates · over markets
L2068%
Over 3.5 corners
L2076%
L2056%
Over 4.5 corners
L2051%
L2044%
Over 5.5 corners
L2036%
L2053%
Over 9.5 total
L2046%
L2047%
Over 10.5 total
L2035%
L2061%
Match corners W%
L2045%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
16%
Under 6
3%
30%
6 to 8
18%
14%
9 to 11
39%
30%
12 to 14
29%
11%
Over 14
11%
NEC Nijmegen · 44 matchesFC Groningen · 38 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+2.2 · NEC NIJMEGEN
NEC Nijmegen · home
+2.2
net per game
For
6.0
Against
3.9
FC Groningen · away
-1.3
net per game
For
4.0
Against
5.3
Market

NEC Nijmegen Corners Over / Under 5.5

Settled · FT 2–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 5.5
1.76
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 5.5
2.34
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

FC Groningen Corners Over / Under 4.5

Settled · FT 2–2
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
1.83
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
2.22
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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