SBI
LIGUE 1
Paris Saint Germain
WWWWW
Kick-off19:45
Troyes
LLLDW
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 19:45 · Parc des Princes
DRAW9.00+12.5%TRO WIN19.00+11.8%AUX WIN4.33+8.3%DRAW4.00+8.1%PFC WIN1.75-2.8%DRAW3.80+2.7%TOU WIN2.05+2.5%STR WIN3.30+1.5%PSG WIN1.12LEN WIN2.05OM WIN3.10DRAW3.75ASM WIN1.72MAN WIN4.33DRAW3.80LYO WIN2.30B29 WIN2.87DRAW3.60ANG WIN3.30DRAW3.50DRAW9.00+12.5%TRO WIN19.00+11.8%AUX WIN4.33+8.3%DRAW4.00+8.1%PFC WIN1.75-2.8%DRAW3.80+2.7%TOU WIN2.05+2.5%STR WIN3.30+1.5%PSG WIN1.12LEN WIN2.05OM WIN3.10DRAW3.75ASM WIN1.72MAN WIN4.33DRAW3.80LYO WIN2.30B29 WIN2.87DRAW3.60ANG WIN3.30DRAW3.50
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
Paris Saint GermainTroyes
1.0
Team cards · per game
2.3
3.0
Total match cards · per game
4.9
Hit rates · home v away
L2054%
Cards match bet W%
L2037%
L2052%
Both teams carded
L2087%
L2028%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2063%
L2030%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2067%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2056%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2080%
L2032%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2067%
L208%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2040%
L204%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2040%
Team cards by line · overall
L2064%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2087%
L2028%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2063%
L208%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2040%
L202%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2030%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 19 matches
Match average
3.11 YELLOWS / GAME
Ruddy Buquet
Ligue 1 · 19 matches in the last 12 months
19
Apps
59
Yellows
3.11
Yellows / game
1
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards1.21 avg
Away cards1.95 avg
Both teams15/1979%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref95%+1.518/19 matches
Ref68%+2.513/19 matches
Ref42%+3.58/19 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Model state
OVER 3.5 · 47%
Model has over 3.5 total cards at 47%. Odds cards show price vs model fair.
Total cardsvia match book
Source51%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source49%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source44%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source42%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model47%MasterP(over 3.5)
Paris Saint Germain (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source32%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source28%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source18%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model26%MasterP(over 1.5)
Troyes (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source67%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source63%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source24%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model51%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
Value Edge
1.44
Tissue
1.44
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+30.7%
Value Edge
No
Against Tissue
3.30
Tissue
3.30
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-42.8%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
6.00
Bet365
—
No Edge
No
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.12
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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