SBI
LIGUE 1
Paris Saint Germain
WWWWW
Kick-off19:45
Troyes
LLLDW
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 19:45 · Parc des Princes
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
6 TO 8 RANGE
Most likely band is 6 to 8. Range chips show price vs model fair.
5.8
Paris Saint Germain · for
at home, per game
10.3
Total corners · projected
μ 10.35
4.5
Troyes · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 6 to 8Price2.60Fair3.02(33%)▼ 13.9%
6 to 8£10.00Returns£26.00
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 8.5
Value Edge
1.42
Tissue
1.42
At exch margin
1.95
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
+37.7%
Value Edge
Under 8.5
Against Tissue
3.40
Tissue
3.40
At exch margin
1.76
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-42.4%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 9.5
Value Edge
1.71
Tissue
1.71
At exch margin
2.29
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
+16.8%
Value Edge
Under 9.5
Against Tissue
2.42
Tissue
2.40
At exch margin
1.48
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
-20.9%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Paris Saint GermainTroyes
6.1
Corners for · per game
5.1
3.2
Corners against · per game
3.6
Hit rates · over markets
L2074%
Over 3.5 corners
L2077%
L2066%
Over 4.5 corners
L2056%
L2052%
Over 5.5 corners
L2040%
L2046%
Over 9.5 total
L2038%
L2028%
Over 10.5 total
L2026%
L2064%
Match corners W%
L2070%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
14%
Under 6
3%
28%
6 to 8
43%
34%
9 to 11
30%
20%
12 to 14
23%
4%
Over 14
0%
Paris Saint Germain · 50 matchesTroyes · 30 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+4.0 · PARIS SAINT GERMAIN
Paris Saint Germain · home
+4.0
net per game
For
6.6
Against
2.7
Troyes · away
+1.0
net per game
For
5.0
Against
3.9
Market

Paris Saint Germain Corners Over / Under 5.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 5.5
Value Edge
1.91
Tissue
1.90
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.10
Bet365
+12.9%
Value Edge
Under 5.5
Against Tissue
2.12
Tissue
2.10
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.66
Bet365
-19.4%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Troyes Corners Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge
1.51
Tissue
1.50
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.20
Bet365
+49.7%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
2.98
Tissue
2.96
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.61
Bet365
-44.5%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.