SBI
LIGUE 1
Olympique Marseille
LWLWL
  • Egan-Riley 5'
  • Weah 33'
  • Paixão 50'
  • Abdelli 55'
FT4 – 3
Le Havre
LDLLL
  • Maja (pen) 77'
  • Ndiaye 86'
  • Maja 89'
Sunday, 25 October 2026 · 16:15 · Stade Vélodrome
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Match state
SETTLED · FT 4–3
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
6.2
Olympique Marseille · for
at home, per game
10.5
Total corners · projected
μ 10.45
4.3
Le Havre · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair
Under 6
Price10.00
Fair10.10
LOST
6 to 8
Price3.20
Fair3.62
WON
9 to 11
Price2.62
Fair2.43
LOST
12 to 14
Price4.33
Fair9.49
LOST
Over 14
Price10.00
Fair9.34
LOST
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Settled · FT 4–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 8.5
1.40
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.50
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 8.5
3.55
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.51
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Settled · FT 4–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 9.5
1.68
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.85
bet365
1.89
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 9.5
2.50
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.95
bet365
1.93
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Olympique MarseilleLe Havre
5.1
Corners for · per game
4.2
3.5
Corners against · per game
5.1
Hit rates · over markets
L2063%
Over 3.5 corners
L2067%
L2053%
Over 4.5 corners
L2045%
L2036%
Over 5.5 corners
L2029%
L2035%
Over 9.5 total
L2051%
L2025%
Over 10.5 total
L2035%
L2054%
Match corners W%
L2039%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
13%
Under 6
11%
39%
6 to 8
22%
33%
9 to 11
44%
9%
12 to 14
14%
7%
Over 14
8%
Olympique Marseille · 46 matchesLe Havre · 36 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+2.2 · OLYMPIQUE MARSEILLE
Olympique Marseille · home
+2.2
net per game
For
5.4
Against
3.2
Le Havre · away
-1.8
net per game
For
4.0
Against
5.8
Market

Olympique Marseille Corners Over / Under 5.5

Settled · FT 4–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 5.5
1.72
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 5.5
2.42
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Le Havre Corners Over / Under 3.5

Settled · FT 4–3
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.63
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.90
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
2.62
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.80
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
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