SBI
PREMIER LEAGUE
Nottingham Forest
LLLDL
Kick-off17:30
Manchester City
LWWLL
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 17:30 · The City Ground
HUL WIN15.00-21.1%CVC WIN4.75+9.7%NFO WIN4.75+9.7%NEW WIN3.40+9.7%DRAW7.50+7.1%TOT WIN2.62-4.7%LEE WIN2.60+4.0%ARS WIN1.18+3.5%DRAW3.60+2.9%DRAW4.00+2.6%DRAW4.00+2.6%MCI WIN1.70+2.4%FUL WIN2.05-2.4%EVE WIN1.70DRAW3.30AVL WIN3.00DRAW3.60MUN WIN2.15BRE WIN3.70DRAW3.70HUL WIN15.00-21.1%CVC WIN4.75+9.7%NFO WIN4.75+9.7%NEW WIN3.40+9.7%DRAW7.50+7.1%TOT WIN2.62-4.7%LEE WIN2.60+4.0%ARS WIN1.18+3.5%DRAW3.60+2.9%DRAW4.00+2.6%DRAW4.00+2.6%MCI WIN1.70+2.4%FUL WIN2.05-2.4%EVE WIN1.70DRAW3.30AVL WIN3.00DRAW3.60MUN WIN2.15BRE WIN3.70DRAW3.70
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
Nottingham ForestManchester City
1.7
Team cards · per game
1.9
3.5
Total match cards · per game
4.2
Hit rates · home v away
L2039%
Cards match bet W%
L2049%
L2066%
Both teams carded
L2070%
L2050%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2053%
L2047%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2060%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2084%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2095%
L2047%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2075%
L205%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2045%
L205%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2025%
Team cards by line · overall
L2082%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2081%
L2050%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2053%
L2016%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2035%
L2013%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2016%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 30 matches
Match average
3.43 YELLOWS / GAME
S. Barrott
Premier League · 30 matches in the last 12 months
30
Apps
103
Yellows
3.43
Yellows / game
0
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards1.40 avg
Away cards2.03 avg
Both teams22/3073%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref90%+1.527/30 matches
Ref67%+2.520/30 matches
Ref57%+3.517/30 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Model state
OVER 3.5 · 55%
Model has over 3.5 total cards at 55%. Odds cards show price vs model fair.
Total cardsvia match book
Source56%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source54%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source54%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source57%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model55%MasterP(over 3.5)
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge
1.81
Tissue
1.80
At exch margin
2.09
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+13.6%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
2.24
Tissue
2.24
At exch margin
1.75
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-21.1%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Asian Handicap Cards 0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Nottingham Forest 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
1.47
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Manchester City 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
2.47
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Nottingham Forest (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source47%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source50%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source24%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model40%MasterP(over 1.5)
Manchester City (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source75%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source53%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source29%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model52%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
Against Tissue
1.48
Tissue
1.47
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
-2.1%
Against Tissue
No
Against Tissue
3.15
Tissue
3.15
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.75
Bet365
-9.8%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
3.00
Bet365
—
No Edge
No
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.36
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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