SBI
PREMIER LEAGUE
Nottingham Forest
LLLDL
Kick-off17:30
Manchester City
LWWLL
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 17:30 · The City Ground
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
5.0
Nottingham Forest · for
at home, per game
11.4
Total corners · projected
μ 11.36
6.3
Manchester City · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.60Fair2.93(34%)▼ 11.3%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£26.00
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 8.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 8.5
No Edge To Take
1.26
Tissue
1.25
Betfair
1.48
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
Under 8.5
No Edge To Take
5.00
Tissue
5.00
Betfair
2.57
Pinnacle
—
Soft
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Total Corners Over / Under 9.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 9.5
Value Edge
1.44
Tissue
1.43
Betfair
1.83
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
+32.1%
Value Edge
Under 9.5
Against Tissue
3.35
Tissue
3.30
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
1.95
Bet365
-40.0%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Nottingham ForestManchester City
4.8
Corners for · per game
6.4
5.2
Corners against · per game
3.5
Hit rates · over markets
L2071%
Over 3.5 corners
L2088%
L2050%
Over 4.5 corners
L2066%
L2036%
Over 5.5 corners
L2057%
L2051%
Over 9.5 total
L2056%
L2040%
Over 10.5 total
L2047%
L2058%
Match corners W%
L2070%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
13%
Under 6
5%
24%
6 to 8
28%
34%
9 to 11
35%
21%
12 to 14
26%
8%
Over 14
7%
Nottingham Forest · 38 matchesManchester City · 43 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+2.1 · MANCHESTER CITY
Nottingham Forest · home
+0.5
net per game
For
5.2
Against
4.8
Manchester City · away
+2.1
net per game
For
6.0
Against
3.9
Market

Nottingham Forest Corners Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge
1.36
Tissue
1.35
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
+30.3%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
3.85
Tissue
3.80
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
-46.7%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Manchester City Corners Over / Under 5.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
Exch Target
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 5.5
Value Edge
1.65
Tissue
1.64
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+14.4%
Value Edge
Under 5.5
Against Tissue
2.56
Tissue
2.54
Betfair
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-26.2%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.