SBI
PREMIER LEAGUE
Aston Villa
WDWWW
  • Jackson 6'
  • Jackson 60'
FT2 – 1
Manchester City
WWLWW
  • Haaland 52'
Saturday, 24 October 2026 · 12:30 · Villa Park
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
Aston VillaManchester City
1.6
Team cards · per game
1.9
3.8
Total match cards · per game
4.1
Hit rates · home v away
L2050%
Cards match bet W%
L2046%
L2070%
Both teams carded
L2071%
L2053%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2056%
L2053%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2061%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2068%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2095%
L2037%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2074%
L2016%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2042%
L200%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2021%
Team cards by line · overall
L2078%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2083%
L2053%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2056%
L2028%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2037%
L205%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2015%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 24 matches
Match average
3.63 YELLOWS / GAME
P. Bankes
Premier League · 24 matches in the last 12 months
24
Apps
87
Yellows
3.63
Yellows / game
4
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards1.92 avg
Away cards1.88 avg
Both teams14/2458%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref83%+1.520/24 matches
Ref71%+2.517/24 matches
Ref46%+3.511/24 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Match state
SETTLED · FT 2–1
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Total cardsvia match book
Source66%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source57%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source57%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source46%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model57%MasterP(over 3.5)
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 3.5

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.77
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.75
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
2.30
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 4.5

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.20
bet365
2.58
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.61
bet365
1.47
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Asian Handicap Cards 0

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Aston Villa 0
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.07
bet365
2.02
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Manchester City 0
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
1.74
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Aston Villa (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source37%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source53%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source26%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model39%MasterP(over 1.5)
Manchester City (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source74%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source56%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source29%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model53%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Yes
1.42
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.22
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
No
3.40
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
4.00
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Yes
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
No
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.