CARABAO CUP
Derby County
LWLWL
- Szmodics 45+1'
FT1 – 2
Lincoln City
WDWWW
- House 3'
- Jefferies 23'
Saturday, 8 August 2026 · 15:00
Season shape
Team card averages
Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
Derby CountyLincoln City
Team cards · per game
Total match cards · per game
Season cards · league hub
Matches played this season: Derby County 1 match, small sample; Lincoln City 3 matches, small sample
1.00Cards for per game2.00
2.00Cards against per game2.67
Hit rates · home v away
L2024%Cards match bet W%L2038%
L2083%Both teams cardedL2079%
L2078%Over 1.5 team cardsL2067%
L2063%Over 3.5 total cardsL2059%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L20100%Over 0.5 team cardsL2095%
L2076%Over 1.5 team cardsL2080%
L2033%Over 2.5 team cardsL2040%
L2014%Over 3.5 team cardsL2020%
Team cards by line · overall
L20100%Over 0.5 team cardsL2090%
L2078%Over 1.5 team cardsL2067%
L2041%Over 2.5 team cardsL2036%
L2017%Over 3.5 team cardsL2013%
Officiating
Referee profile
Card profile · last 12 months · 27 matches
Match average
4.48 CARDS / GAME
4.19 yellows a game · 27 matches, last 12 months
J. Smith
27
Apps
113
Yellows
4.19
Yellows / game
8
Reds
Cards per game
Cards per game27 matches in the last 12 months · yellows and reds4.48
Yellows per game27 matches in the last 12 months4.19
Half-by-half card counts are not recorded for these matches, so no first-half or second-half split is shown.
Referee extras · this league season
Fouls per game1 match, small sample · weight lightly24.00
Penalties awarded0 in 1 match, small sample · 0.00 a game · weight lightly0
Team cards
Home cards27 matches, last 12 months1.74 avg
Away cards27 matches, last 12 months2.74 avg
Both teams19/2770%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref93%+1.525/27 matches
Ref78%+2.521/27 matches
Ref59%+3.516/27 matches
Line check
Line vs referee and teams
Bookmaker cards lines beside the referee and the two teams. These are past results, not a price or a projection.
- Referee: J. Smith, 27 matches in the last 12 months
- Teams, matches played this season: Derby County 1 match, small sample; Lincoln City 3 matches, small sample
J. Smith averages 4.48 cards a game over 27 matches in the last 12 months, 1.0 above a 3.5 line.
In those matches J. Smith has shown the home side 1.74 cards a game and the away side 2.74 (27 matches).
Derby County cards for 1.00 a game, Lincoln City 2.00, together 3.00 against a 3.5 line.
Blending each side's cards for with the other's cards against gives Derby County 1.83 and Lincoln City 2.00, together 3.83 against a 3.5 line.
The added-together figure is 0.5 below the 3.5 line; the blend is 0.3 above it.
Cards for at the venues: Derby County at home 1.00 (1 match, small sample), Lincoln City away 2.00 (3 matches, small sample), together 3.00.
bet365 · line 3.5 (main line)Over 1.66 · Under 2.10
referee 4.48 is 1.0 above; teams added together 3.00 is 0.5 below; blend 3.83 is 0.3 above
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder price
Averages
Cards · past-game averages
Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into one figure
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–2
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Total cardsvia match book
Source59%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source61%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source61%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source59%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Average60%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Market
Total Cards Over / Under 3.5
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
Under 3.5
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Derby County (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source76%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source78%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source40%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Average65%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Lincoln City (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source80%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source67%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source33%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Average60%Averageaverage of the hit rates above
Market
Both Teams To Receive A Card
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Yes
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.28
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
No
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
3.50
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Market
Both Teams 2+ Cards
Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Sanstari estimate
Open
Close
Move
Yes
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.25
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
No
—
Estimate
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.57
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Moved
ⓘ Bookmaker prices as quoted at the time shown beneath each card. Odds are for informational purposes only. Bet responsibly.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Pinnacle has no cards price for this match.
Total cards lines
Every line bet365 and Pinnacle quote
bet365 overbet365 underPinnacle overPinnacle under
3.51.662.10––
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that line.
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
Asian Handicap Cards
Each side with the handicap it carries, in cards
bet365Pinnacle
Derby County +0.51.80–
Lincoln City -0.52.00–
A dash means that bookmaker does not quote that handicap.
bet365as of 15:00 on 8 Augolder pricePinnacleno price on this line
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