SBI
CHAMPIONSHIP
Watford
LWLLW
Kick-off15:00
Middlesbrough
WWDWW
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 15:00
WAT WIN6.50+23.8%BOL WIN2.70-10.0%LNC WIN4.50+9.8%PNE WIN4.75-9.5%DRB WIN2.35+9.3%MID WIN1.42-7.2%SWA WIN3.75+7.1%CHA WIN3.30+6.5%BRC WIN1.85-5.1%SHU WIN2.05-4.7%DRAW4.50+3.9%SOU WIN1.60+3.2%QPR WIN1.75-2.8%DRAW4.10-2.4%BUR WIN2.80+1.8%DRAW3.50DRAW3.60CDF WIN2.25DRAW3.60DRAW4.00WAT WIN6.50+23.8%BOL WIN2.70-10.0%LNC WIN4.50+9.8%PNE WIN4.75-9.5%DRB WIN2.35+9.3%MID WIN1.42-7.2%SWA WIN3.75+7.1%CHA WIN3.30+6.5%BRC WIN1.85-5.1%SHU WIN2.05-4.7%DRAW4.50+3.9%SOU WIN1.60+3.2%QPR WIN1.75-2.8%DRAW4.10-2.4%BUR WIN2.80+1.8%DRAW3.50DRAW3.60CDF WIN2.25DRAW3.60DRAW4.00
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
WatfordMiddlesbrough
2.5
Team cards · per game
1.4
4.8
Total match cards · per game
3.6
Hit rates · home v away
L2044%
Cards match bet W%
L2048%
L2079%
Both teams carded
L2064%
L2074%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2050%
L2064%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2050%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2085%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2071%
L2075%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2062%
L2035%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2019%
L2015%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2014%
Team cards by line · overall
L2090%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2069%
L2074%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2050%
L2044%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2017%
L2023%
Over 3.5 team cards
L207%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 28 matches
Match average
3.32 YELLOWS / GAME
G. Ward
Championship · 28 matches in the last 12 months
28
Apps
93
Yellows
3.32
Yellows / game
4
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards1.46 avg
Away cards2.00 avg
Both teams21/2875%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref86%+1.524/28 matches
Ref68%+2.519/28 matches
Ref50%+3.514/28 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Model state
OVER 3.5 · 56%
Model has over 3.5 total cards at 56%. Odds cards show price vs model fair.
Total cardsvia match book
Source59%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source57%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source57%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source50%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model56%MasterP(over 3.5)
Watford (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source75%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source74%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source36%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model62%MasterP(over 1.5)
Middlesbrough (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source62%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source50%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source26%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model46%MasterP(over 1.5)
Card prices for this fixture are captured closer to kick-off.
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