CHAMPIONSHIP
Watford
LWLLW
Kick-off15:00
Middlesbrough
WWDWW
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 15:00
WAT WIN6.50+23.8%BOL WIN2.70-10.0%LNC WIN4.50+9.8%PNE WIN4.75-9.5%DRB WIN2.35+9.3%MID WIN1.42-7.2%SWA WIN3.75+7.1%CHA WIN3.30+6.5%BRC WIN1.85-5.1%SHU WIN2.05-4.7%DRAW4.50+3.9%SOU WIN1.60+3.2%QPR WIN1.75-2.8%DRAW4.10-2.4%BUR WIN2.80+1.8%DRAW3.50DRAW3.60CDF WIN2.25DRAW3.60WHU WIN1.60WAT WIN6.50+23.8%BOL WIN2.70-10.0%LNC WIN4.50+9.8%PNE WIN4.75-9.5%DRB WIN2.35+9.3%MID WIN1.42-7.2%SWA WIN3.75+7.1%CHA WIN3.30+6.5%BRC WIN1.85-5.1%SHU WIN2.05-4.7%DRAW4.50+3.9%SOU WIN1.60+3.2%QPR WIN1.75-2.8%DRAW4.10-2.4%BUR WIN2.80+1.8%DRAW3.50DRAW3.60CDF WIN2.25DRAW3.60WHU WIN1.60
Match forecast
Total corners · model prediction
GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
6 TO 8 RANGE
Most likely band is 6 to 8. Range chips show price vs model fair.
5.7
Watford · for
at home, per game
11.6
Total corners · projected
5.9
Middlesbrough · for
away, per game
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 6 to 8Price3.75Fair3.45(29%)▲ 8.6%
6 to 8£10.00Returns£37.50
Season shape
Team corner averages
Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
WatfordMiddlesbrough
Corners for · per game
Corners against · per game
Hit rates · over markets
L2056%Over 3.5 cornersL2071%
L2044%Over 4.5 cornersL2067%
L2028%Over 5.5 cornersL2062%
L2054%Over 9.5 totalL2064%
L2051%Over 10.5 totalL2055%
L2033%Match corners W%L2062%
Distribution
Corner volume · bucket frequencies
% of games landing in each band
Venue
8%Under 67%
33%6 to 819%
18%9 to 1124%
26%12 to 1431%
15%Over 1419%
Watford · 39 matchesMiddlesbrough · 42 matches
Edge profile
Corner differential · for vs against
Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
NO DATA
Watford · home
—
net per game
Middlesbrough · away
—
net per game
Market
Watford Corners Over / Under 3.5
Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge1.23
Tissue
1.22
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+53.8%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue5.50
Tissue
5.50
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-66.1%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market
Middlesbrough Corners Over / Under 6.5
Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 6.5
Against Tissue2.62
Tissue
2.60
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-28.0%
Against Tissue
Under 6.5
Value Edge1.63
Tissue
1.62
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+15.8%
Value Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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