SBI
CHAMPIONSHIP
Watford
LWLLW
Kick-off15:00
Middlesbrough
WWDWW
Saturday, 7 November 2026 · 15:00
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
6 TO 8 RANGE
Most likely band is 6 to 8. Range chips show price vs model fair.
5.7
Watford · for
at home, per game
11.6
Total corners · projected
μ 11.61
5.9
Middlesbrough · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 6 to 8Price3.75Fair3.45(29%)▲ 8.6%
6 to 8£10.00Returns£37.50
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
WatfordMiddlesbrough
—
Corners for · per game
—
—
Corners against · per game
—
Hit rates · over markets
L2056%
Over 3.5 corners
L2071%
L2044%
Over 4.5 corners
L2067%
L2028%
Over 5.5 corners
L2062%
L2054%
Over 9.5 total
L2064%
L2051%
Over 10.5 total
L2055%
L2033%
Match corners W%
L2062%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
8%
Under 6
7%
33%
6 to 8
19%
18%
9 to 11
24%
26%
12 to 14
31%
15%
Over 14
19%
Watford · 39 matchesMiddlesbrough · 42 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
NO DATA
Watford · home
—
net per game
For
—
Against
—
Middlesbrough · away
—
net per game
For
—
Against
—
Market

Watford Corners Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Value Edge
1.23
Tissue
1.22
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+53.8%
Value Edge
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
5.50
Tissue
5.50
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-66.1%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Middlesbrough Corners Over / Under 6.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 6.5
Against Tissue
2.62
Tissue
2.60
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-28.0%
Against Tissue
Under 6.5
Value Edge
1.63
Tissue
1.62
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+15.8%
Value Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.