SBI
CHAMPIONSHIP
Derby County
LLDLL
Kick-off20:00
Bolton Wanderers
WDLLW
Friday, 6 November 2026 · 20:00
WAT WIN6.50+23.8%BOL WIN2.70-10.0%LNC WIN4.50+9.8%PNE WIN4.75-9.5%DRB WIN2.35+9.3%MID WIN1.42-7.2%SWA WIN3.75+7.1%CHA WIN3.30+6.5%BRC WIN1.85-5.1%SHU WIN2.05-4.7%DRAW4.50+3.9%SOU WIN1.60+3.2%QPR WIN1.75-2.8%DRAW4.10-2.4%BUR WIN2.80+1.8%DRAW3.50CDF WIN2.25DRAW3.60DRAW3.60DRAW4.00WAT WIN6.50+23.8%BOL WIN2.70-10.0%LNC WIN4.50+9.8%PNE WIN4.75-9.5%DRB WIN2.35+9.3%MID WIN1.42-7.2%SWA WIN3.75+7.1%CHA WIN3.30+6.5%BRC WIN1.85-5.1%SHU WIN2.05-4.7%DRAW4.50+3.9%SOU WIN1.60+3.2%QPR WIN1.75-2.8%DRAW4.10-2.4%BUR WIN2.80+1.8%DRAW3.50CDF WIN2.25DRAW3.60DRAW3.60DRAW4.00
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
Derby CountyBolton Wanderers
2.5
Team cards · per game
1.7
4.4
Total match cards · per game
3.6
Hit rates · home v away
L2026%
Cards match bet W%
L2040%
L2079%
Both teams carded
L2064%
L2076%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2048%
L2063%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2043%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2095%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2082%
L2058%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2050%
L2037%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2018%
L2016%
Over 3.5 team cards
L209%
Team cards by line · overall
L2097%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2076%
L2076%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2048%
L2045%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2026%
L2021%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2012%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 14 matches
Match average
3.50 YELLOWS / GAME
J. Bell
Championship · 14 matches in the last 12 months
14
Apps
49
Yellows
3.50
Yellows / game
1
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards1.71 avg
Away cards1.86 avg
Both teams11/1479%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref93%+1.513/14 matches
Ref86%+2.512/14 matches
Ref43%+3.56/14 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Model state
OVER 3.5 · 50%
Model has over 3.5 total cards at 50%. Odds cards show price vs model fair.
Total cardsvia match book
Source50%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source53%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source53%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source43%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model50%MasterP(over 3.5)
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 3.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 3.5
Against Tissue
2.02
Tissue
2.00
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
-8.2%
Against Tissue
Under 3.5
Against Tissue
2.00
Tissue
1.98
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.90
Bet365
-2.1%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Asian Handicap Cards 0

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Derby County 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
—
No Edge
Bolton Wanderers 0
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.80
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Derby County (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source58%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source76%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source36%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model57%MasterP(over 1.5)
Bolton Wanderers (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source50%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source48%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source25%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model41%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
Against Tissue
1.40
Tissue
1.40
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.30
Bet365
-4.4%
Against Tissue
No
Against Tissue
3.55
Tissue
3.50
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
3.40
Bet365
-1.4%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
No active signal or edge in this market
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Yes
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.50
Bet365
—
No Edge
No
No Edge To Take
—
Tissue
—
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.50
Bet365
—
No Edge
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
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