SBI
CHAMPIONSHIP
Derby County
LLDLL
Kick-off20:00
Bolton Wanderers
WDLLW
Friday, 6 November 2026 · 20:00
WAT WIN6.50+23.8%BOL WIN2.70-10.0%LNC WIN4.50+9.8%PNE WIN4.75-9.5%DRB WIN2.35+9.3%MID WIN1.42-7.2%SWA WIN3.75+7.1%CHA WIN3.30+6.5%BRC WIN1.85-5.1%SHU WIN2.05-4.7%DRAW4.50+3.9%SOU WIN1.60+3.2%QPR WIN1.75-2.8%DRAW4.10-2.4%BUR WIN2.80+1.8%DRAW3.50DRAW3.60CDF WIN2.25DRAW3.60WHU WIN1.60WAT WIN6.50+23.8%BOL WIN2.70-10.0%LNC WIN4.50+9.8%PNE WIN4.75-9.5%DRB WIN2.35+9.3%MID WIN1.42-7.2%SWA WIN3.75+7.1%CHA WIN3.30+6.5%BRC WIN1.85-5.1%SHU WIN2.05-4.7%DRAW4.50+3.9%SOU WIN1.60+3.2%QPR WIN1.75-2.8%DRAW4.10-2.4%BUR WIN2.80+1.8%DRAW3.50DRAW3.60CDF WIN2.25DRAW3.60WHU WIN1.60
Free Daily Market Bulletin
Match forecast

Total corners · model prediction

GAP-weighted · home/away splits · venue-adjusted
Model state
9 TO 11 RANGE
Most likely band is 9 to 11. Range chips show price vs model fair.
5.7
Derby County · for
at home, per game
11.4
Total corners · projected
μ 11.39
5.7
Bolton Wanderers · for
away, per game
0369121518
Range market · price vs model fair · tap to combine
1 band · 9 to 11Price2.62Fair2.63(38%)▼ 0.3%
9 to 11£10.00Returns£26.20
Season shape

Team corner averages

Bilateral comparison · season-long
Venue
Derby CountyBolton Wanderers
4.8
Corners for · per game
5.7
5.3
Corners against · per game
4.5
Hit rates · over markets
L2061%
Over 3.5 corners
L2071%
L2048%
Over 4.5 corners
L2063%
L2037%
Over 5.5 corners
L2042%
L2051%
Over 9.5 total
L2054%
L2041%
Over 10.5 total
L2042%
L2045%
Match corners W%
L2050%
Distribution

Corner volume · bucket frequencies

% of games landing in each band
Venue
13%
Under 6
2%
26%
6 to 8
31%
34%
9 to 11
38%
21%
12 to 14
17%
5%
Over 14
12%
Derby County · 38 matchesBolton Wanderers · 42 matches
Edge profile

Corner differential · for vs against

Net corners per 90 · venue-adjusted
Net edge
+0.7 · DERBY COUNTY
Derby County · home
+0.7
net per game
For
5.5
Against
4.8
Bolton Wanderers · away
-0.3
net per game
For
4.6
Against
4.9
Market

Derby County Corners Over / Under 5.5

Pre-game
Market State
NO SIGNAL
Best price is +3.1% over fair — under the 5% bar, so no call
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 5.5
No Edge To Take
1.99
Tissue
1.98
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
2.00
Bet365
+3.1%
Below Bar
Under 5.5
Against Tissue
2.02
Tissue
2.02
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.72
Bet365
-12.2%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Market

Bolton Wanderers Corners Over / Under 4.5

Pre-game
Market State
VALUE EDGE
Soft price differs from model fair price
Outcome
Master
SBI @ Exch
Pinnacle
Soft
Edge
Over 4.5
Value Edge
1.49
Tissue
1.48
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
+26.2%
Value Edge
Under 4.5
Against Tissue
3.10
Tissue
3.05
At exch margin
—
Pinnacle
1.83
Bet365
-38.6%
Against Tissue
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Search SBI…
Back to Match Centre