SBI
CHAMPIONSHIP
Watford
LLWLL
  • Mavididi 46'
FT1 – 0
Lincoln City
LLDWL
Tuesday, 3 November 2026 · 19:45
Season shape

Team card averages

Bilateral comparison · historical match cards
Venue
WatfordLincoln City
2.4
Team cards · per game
2.6
4.7
Total match cards · per game
4.7
Hit rates · home v away
L2046%
Cards match bet W%
L2034%
L2079%
Both teams carded
L2083%
L2074%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2073%
L2064%
Over 3.5 total cards
L2073%
Team cards by line · home at home v away away
L2084%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2095%
L2074%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2082%
L2032%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2055%
L2011%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2032%
Team cards by line · overall
L2090%
Over 0.5 team cards
L2095%
L2074%
Over 1.5 team cards
L2073%
L2041%
Over 2.5 team cards
L2049%
L2021%
Over 3.5 team cards
L2024%
Officiating

Referee profile

Card profile · last 12 months · 14 matches
Match average
3.36 YELLOWS / GAME
J. Bell
Championship · 14 matches in the last 12 months
14
Apps
47
Yellows
3.36
Yellows / game
1
Reds
Cards by half
1H cards—
Avg—
2H cards—
Avg—
Team cards
Home cards1.50 avg
Away cards1.93 avg
Both teams11/1479%
Over / under cards
Ref—+0.5no data
Ref93%+1.513/14 matches
Ref86%+2.512/14 matches
Ref43%+3.56/14 matches
Model

Cards · model prediction

Venue, overall and league hit rates, referee where on file · averaged into the model figure
Match state
SETTLED · FT 1–0
Match finished. Prices are the last captured before kick-off.
Total cardsvia match book
Source66%Venueover 3.5 hit rate
Source69%Overallover 3.5 hit rate
Source69%Leagueover 3.5 hit rate
Source43%Refereeover 3.5 hit rate
Model62%MasterP(over 3.5)
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 3.5

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 3.5
1.62
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.66
bet365
1.56
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 3.5
2.62
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.10
bet365
2.37
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Total Cards Over / Under 4.5

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Over 4.5
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.00
bet365
2.22
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Under 4.5
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.72
bet365
1.62
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Asian Handicap Cards 0

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Watford 0
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
Lincoln City 0
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
bet365
1.47
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Watford (H) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source74%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source74%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source36%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model61%MasterP(over 1.5)
Lincoln City (A) · team cardsOver 1.5 line
Source82%Venueover 1.5 hit rate
Source73%Overallover 1.5 hit rate
Source38%Leagueover 1.5 hit rate
Model64%MasterP(over 1.5)
Market

Both Teams To Receive A Card

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Yes
1.24
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.28
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
No
5.30
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
3.50
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.
Market

Both Teams 2+ Cards

Settled · card count not recorded
Market State
Settled
Outcome
Master
Open
Close
Move
Yes
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
2.37
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
No
—
Master
—
bet365
—
Pinnacle
1.53
bet365
—
Pinnacle
—
Betfair
—
Moved
ⓘ SBI Tissue prices are model projections based on statistical analysis and market data. Bet responsibly. Odds are for informational purposes only.
Open is our first capture, not the market's true opening price.